Superbowl XLVIII Projection, Wildcard Saturday

Seattle over Denver

Somewhat interestingly, this is the same projection after Wildcard Saturday last year. However, last year Atlanta, Houston, and Washington were all still in the playoffs, with a combined 35 regular season wins.

Yesterday I didn't feel all that strongly about either game, but my chosen teams lost both of them. First, I stopped paying much attention to the Kansas City game after they were up by 28 points. I still had the game on TV, but I wasn't glued to the screen; I was able to take care of some things around the house. At one point I think I had a TV tuned to the game in 3 different rooms since I was moving around so much. Ultimately Indianapolis pulled out the win by a point, as I'm sure you know.

I like both Philadelphia and New Orleans, so I was mostly just hoping to watch a good game, but I decided I was rooting for Philadelphia, even though in my projections, they were underdogs. The game stayed close until the end and even though "my" team lost on a last-second field goal, it was a pretty good game overall.

Today I'm rooting for Green Bay over San Francisco, and San Diego over Cincinnati. What can I say, I like the underdogs this year.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
SEA	13-3	0.856	+	+	+	70.095	45.034	30.903
DEN	13-3	0.779	+	+	+	71.856	43.372	19.854
CAR	12-4	0.779	+	+	+	57.367	24.980	14.195
SF	12-4	0.770	-	+	78.399	38.150	16.141	8.959
CIN	11-5	0.738	+	+	65.649	36.299	18.467	7.470
NO	11-5	0.718	-	+	+	29.905	13.060	6.378
NE	12-4	0.695	+	+	+	51.020	23.298	8.288
SD	9-7	0.596	-	+	34.351	10.122	4.480	1.195
IND	11-5	0.572	+	+	+	30.702	10.383	2.552
GB	8-7-1	0.480	+	+	21.601	4.483	0.784	0.207

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)
First to 25% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 15, Sunday)

First to 30% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 17, Final)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)

First to clinch a Playoff berth: Seattle (Week 13, Final)
First to clinch a First Round Bye: Denver (Week 16, Sunday)

First team eliminated: Atlanta (Week 12, Final)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Monday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]
[Week 15, Sunday]
[Week 15, Final]
[Week 16, Sunday]
[Week 16, Final]
[Week 17, Final]