Superbowl XLVIII Projection, Week 15, Sunday

Seattle over Denver

Kansas City was the only other team to clinch a playoff spot this week, so 8 are still up for grabs, with 5 of those in the NFC. Denver remained the AFC favorite because both New England and Cincinnati lost, and Denver holds the tiebreaker over Kansas City. We could see Kansas City and Denver in the first round, since one will be a division winner, and one will be a wildcard.

Tennessee, Buffalo, Cleveland, Oakland, and Jacksonville were eliminated this week. I'm keeping the full grid in place for now because I think it's interesting that the Jets are the second worst team in the league, but are still clinging onto playoff hopes at 6-8.

No NFC teams were eliminated this week, even from division races. It would appear that Green Bay, Chicago, and Detroit all have playoff odds equal to their Division Championship odds, which means only one of them will make the playoffs this year, the NFC North champion. Dallas and Philadelphia will also each have to win the NFC East to make the playoffs. The corollary to those statements is that the wildcards will come from the NFC South and/or the NFC West. Seattle, San Francisco, or Arizona could be the team(s) from the West, and New Orleans and Carolina are still alive in the South. Therefore, only 1 of those 5 teams will miss the playoffs, and it won't be Seattle. My money's on Arizona, but we'll see.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
SEA	12-2	0.821	97.624	+	99.540	63.862	41.491	27.679
CAR	10-4	0.762	53.258	97.508	86.137	49.987	24.356	14.256
KC	11-3	0.758	14.235	+	75.014	45.631	28.759	13.960
SF	10-4	0.749	2.376	98.671	72.684	33.177	16.541	9.402
DEN	11-3	0.719	85.765	+	95.389	54.874	31.388	13.700
NO	10-4	0.678	46.742	99.102	81.075	35.973	13.355	6.466
CIN	9-5	0.662	87.439	91.891	66.117	34.962	15.672	5.855
NE	10-4	0.611	93.986	99.172	79.922	35.720	14.162	4.601
ARI	9-5	0.605	-	4.718	2.740	0.750	0.275	0.112
SD	7-7	0.564	-	1.388	0.600	0.210	0.078	0.022
DET	7-6	0.546	47.278	47.278	14.560	4.365	1.127	0.397
BAL	7-6	0.539	12.561	26.235	11.305	4.042	1.398	0.370
IND	9-5	0.538	+	+	37.744	13.923	4.892	1.296
MIA	8-6	0.531	6.014	80.727	33.716	10.590	3.638	0.942
PHI	8-6	0.528	58.145	58.145	17.039	4.848	1.189	0.401
CHI	8-6	0.525	31.824	31.824	9.397	2.721	0.645	0.215
DAL	7-7	0.514	41.855	41.855	11.419	2.955	0.730	0.237
STL	6-8	0.483	-	-	-	-	-	-
GB	7-6-1	0.483	20.899	20.899	5.410	1.362	0.290	0.087
PIT	6-8	0.478	-	0.505	0.179	0.046	0.014	0.003
TEN	5-9	0.444	-	-	-	-	-	-
MIN	4-9-1	0.397	-	-	-	-	-	-
BUF	5-9	0.393	-	-	-	-	-	-
ATL	4-10	0.355	-	-	-	-	-	-
TB	4-10	0.355	-	-	-	-	-	-
CLE	4-10	0.354	-	-	-	-	-	-
OAK	4-10	0.321	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYG	5-9	0.286	-	-	-	-	-	-
WAS	3-11	0.286	-	-	-	-	-	-
HOU	2-12	0.266	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYJ	6-8	0.263	-	0.082	0.014	0.002	0.000	0.000
JAC	4-10	0.188	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 2, Sunday)

First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)

First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)

First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)

First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)

First to clinch a Playoff berth: Seattle (Week 13, Final)

First team eliminated: Atlanta (Week 12, Final)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Monday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]