2013-12-09

Superbowl XLVIII Projection, Week 14, Sunday

Seattle over Denver

Snow football is pretty great, isn't it?

Denver and Indianapolis are now officially in the playoffs, though Indy did it by virtue of clinching the division on a Tennessee loss and a clinched tiebreaker. They could wind up at 8-8 and with a worse record than at least one AFC wildcard team. On the other side of that Tennessee loss was Denver, who is also officially in now.

In the NFC, the teams in wildcard position are now both 9-4, eliminating any teams with 8 losses. This week, that included St. Louis, Minnesota, and New York. It didn't even occur to me that the Rams might be eliminated until I was watching the bonus coverage of the San Francisco-Seattle game, and realized that between Seattle, San Francisco, New Orleans, and Carolina, it was going to take 9 wins and a tiebreaker to make it.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
SEA11-20.77895.330+98.83559.36336.45022.370
CAR9-40.74420.02194.13372.55739.29520.63711.756
KC10-30.7305.19399.98273.83341.09223.95611.942
DEN11-20.71994.807+98.04058.19333.22716.119
SF9-40.7154.67093.58864.79929.16114.5377.749
NO10-30.69479.97999.31091.85749.20121.31010.842
CIN9-40.67995.69198.63678.45142.41320.4748.976
NE10-30.61797.78599.64181.94036.65615.0155.607
ARI8-50.603-6.4773.5991.1750.4520.186
PHI8-50.56348.51353.61420.5656.9992.1880.816
SD6-70.550-2.0540.7840.2980.1050.033
DAL7-50.54651.48752.80817.8325.7831.7380.621
DET7-60.54669.88669.90822.0346.9342.1500.767
BAL7-60.5394.30942.95716.9405.6562.0090.609
MIA7-60.5222.21554.27720.7046.5532.2220.644
IND8-50.494++28.7649.0252.9650.794
CHI6-60.48412.48812.5153.3420.9000.2300.070
GB6-6-10.48117.62617.6474.5801.1890.3080.092
STL5-80.461------
PIT5-80.457-0.4720.1430.0390.0110.003
TEN5-80.448-0.4580.1330.0360.0100.002
TB4-90.394------
BUF4-90.380-0.0440.0110.0020.0000.000
MIN3-9-10.366------
CLE4-90.363-0.0180.0040.0010.0000.000
OAK4-90.357-0.0030.0010.0000.0000.000
ATL3-100.354------
NYG5-80.335------
HOU2-110.310------
WAS3-100.291------
NYJ6-70.281-1.4540.2510.0360.0060.001
JAC4-90.203-0.0040.0010.0000.0000.000

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a Playoff berth: Seattle (Week 13, Final)

First team eliminated: Atlanta (Week 12, Final)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Monday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]

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