Tenets of Wilson: 2021-01

2021-01-25

Super Bowl LV Projection, Championship Sunday

Tampa Bay over Kansas City

Disclaimer: I didn't originally post this on time for some reason, but I've backdated the posting date just so it make sense

Tampa Bay beat Green Bay by just 5 points, but they were really in complete control by halftime. Kansas City also dominated Buffalo but didn't allow them to get nearly as close during garbage time.

Who am I rooting for to win the Super Bowl?

Tampa Bay (54.5%) at Kansas City
Just like Superbowl LIV, I've got to root for my adopted home team.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
TB	11-5	0.731	-	++	++	++	++	54.5
KC	14-2	0.694	++	++	++	++	++	45.5
BAL	11-5	0.791	-	++	++	-	-	-
NO	12-4	0.750	++	++	++	-	-	-
GB	13-3	0.728	++	++	++	++	-	-
BUF	13-3	0.708	++	++	++	++	-	-
PIT	12-4	0.707	++	++	-	-	-	-
LAR	10-6	0.668	-	++	++	-	-	-
IND	11-5	0.662	-	++	-	-	-	-
SEA	12-4	0.658	++	++	-	-	-	-
MIA	10-6	0.633	-	-	-	-	-	-
TEN	11-5	0.585	++	++	-	-	-	-
ARI	8-8	0.584	-	-	-	-	-	-
WAS	7-9	0.514	++	++	-	-	-	-
CHI	8-8	0.504	-	++	-	-	-	-
CLE	11-5	0.480	-	++	++	-	-	-
SF	6-10	0.472	-	-	-	-	-	-
ATL	4-12	0.466	-	-	-	-	-	-
NE	7-9	0.439	-	-	-	-	-	-
LV	8-8	0.427	-	-	-	-	-	-
MIN	7-9	0.424	-	-	-	-	-	-
LAC	7-9	0.421	-	-	-	-	-	-
CAR	5-11	0.395	-	-	-	-	-	-
DAL	6-10	0.365	-	-	-	-	-	-
HOU	4-12	0.359	-	-	-	-	-	-
PHI	4-11-1	0.335	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYG	6-10	0.322	-	-	-	-	-	-
CIN	4-11-1	0.279	-	-	-	-	-	-
DET	5-11	0.273	-	-	-	-	-	-
DEN	5-11	0.271	-	-	-	-	-	-
JAC	1-15	0.189	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYJ	2-14	0.126	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 20% chance of Super Bowl win: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Pittsburgh (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 12, Sunday)
First to 99.99999% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 12, Final)
First to clinch Playoffs: New Orleans and Kansas City (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a first round bye and homefield in conference playoffs: Kansas City (Week 16, Sunday)

First team eliminated from a division: New York Jets (Week 9, Final)

First team eliminated from the playoffs: New York Jets (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Sunday] Indianapolis over Seattle
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Monday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Seattle
[Week 6, Monday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 9, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 9, Sunday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 9, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 10, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 10, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 10, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 11, Thursday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 11, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 11, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Thursday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Monday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 13, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 13, Monday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 13, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 14, Thursday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 14, Sunday] Kansas City over New Orleans
[Week 14, Final] Kansas City over New Orleans
[Week 15, Thursday] Kansas City over New Orleans
[Week 15, Saturday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 15, Sunday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 15, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 16, Friday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 16, Saturday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 16, Sunday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 16, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 17] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Wildcard Saturday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Wildcard Sunday] Baltimore over New Orleans
[Divisional Saturday] Buffalo over Green Bay
[Divisional Sunday] Tampa Bay over Buffalo

2021-01-17

Super Bowl LV Projection, Divisional Sunday

Tampa Bay over Buffalo

With 3 games to go, the remaining 4 teams are pretty evenly matched. I should try to come up with a good measure for how evenly, that is, how close to 25-25-25-25 odds we are. Maybe during the off week.

Who am I rooting for to make it to the Superbowl?

Tampa Bay (50.4%) at Green Bay
Both games are close, but this one rounds to 50-50. For some reason I feel like I'd rather see Tampa Bay win, maybe because Green Bay has had so much success in my lifetime, or at least it feels that way.

Buffalo (51.7%) at Kansas City
I'm rooting for the underdog in this one, the team physically closest to being my hometown team, Kansas City.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
TB	11-5	0.731	-	++	++	++	50.36	27.01
GB	13-3	0.728	++	++	++	++	49.64	26.44
BUF	13-3	0.708	++	++	++	++	51.70	24.49
KC	14-2	0.694	++	++	++	++	48.30	22.06
BAL	11-5	0.791	-	++	++	-	-	-
NO	12-4	0.750	++	++	++	-	-	-
PIT	12-4	0.707	++	++	-	-	-	-
LAR	10-6	0.668	-	++	++	-	-	-
IND	11-5	0.662	-	++	-	-	-	-
SEA	12-4	0.657	++	++	-	-	-	-
MIA	10-6	0.633	-	-	-	-	-	-
TEN	11-5	0.585	++	++	-	-	-	-
ARI	8-8	0.584	-	-	-	-	-	-
WAS	7-9	0.514	++	++	-	-	-	-
CHI	8-8	0.504	-	++	-	-	-	-
CLE	11-5	0.480	-	++	++	-	-	-
SF	6-10	0.472	-	-	-	-	-	-
ATL	4-12	0.466	-	-	-	-	-	-
NE	7-9	0.439	-	-	-	-	-	-
LV	8-8	0.427	-	-	-	-	-	-
MIN	7-9	0.424	-	-	-	-	-	-
LAC	7-9	0.421	-	-	-	-	-	-
CAR	5-11	0.395	-	-	-	-	-	-
DAL	6-10	0.365	-	-	-	-	-	-
HOU	4-12	0.359	-	-	-	-	-	-
PHI	4-11-1	0.335	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYG	6-10	0.322	-	-	-	-	-	-
CIN	4-11-1	0.279	-	-	-	-	-	-
DET	5-11	0.273	-	-	-	-	-	-
DEN	5-11	0.271	-	-	-	-	-	-
JAC	1-15	0.189	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYJ	2-14	0.126	-	-	-	-	-	-

Super Bowl LV Projection, Divisional Saturday

Buffalo over Green Bay

I'm pretty sure I mention this caveat every year, at least every year if one or more of the top seeds don't play until Divisional Sunday, but the conference favorites right now are obviously the 2 teams that have already clinched a spot in the game. Green Bay will definitely not be favored against either opponent they ultimately face, but at 48% they have a higher likelihood than either New Orleans or Tampa Bay individually. Buffalo will be favored either way, so at least that part won't change after Sunday's games.

Who's up on Sunday?!

Cleveland at Kansas City (71%)
I'm rooting for KC as sort of my adopted home team, but the shine seems to be off the apple for them a little bit. Hopefully they can keep it together for 3 more games.

Tampa Bay at New Orleans (52%)
This feels like a game Tampa Bay should win, but we'll see if the eye test or my model picks the right team. I'll root for Tampa Bay, mostly because New Orleans is just a team I don't usually root for.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
BUF	13-3	0.708	++	++	++	++	57.71	26.95
GB	13-3	0.728	++	++	++	++	48.38	26.50
NO	12-4	0.750	++	++	++	52.41	27.66	15.89
KC	14-2	0.694	++	++	++	71.12	34.35	15.46
TB	11-5	0.731	-	++	++	47.59	23.97	13.21
CLE	11-5	0.480	-	++	++	28.88	7.95	1.98
BAL	11-5	0.791	-	++	++	-	-	-
PIT	12-4	0.707	++	++	-	-	-	-
LAR	10-6	0.668	-	++	++	-	-	-
IND	11-5	0.662	-	++	-	-	-	-
SEA	12-4	0.658	++	++	-	-	-	-
MIA	10-6	0.633	-	-	-	-	-	-
TEN	11-5	0.585	++	++	-	-	-	-
ARI	8-8	0.584	-	-	-	-	-	-
WAS	7-9	0.514	++	++	-	-	-	-
CHI	8-8	0.504	-	++	-	-	-	-
SF	6-10	0.472	-	-	-	-	-	-
ATL	4-12	0.466	-	-	-	-	-	-
NE	7-9	0.439	-	-	-	-	-	-
LV	8-8	0.427	-	-	-	-	-	-
MIN	7-9	0.424	-	-	-	-	-	-
LAC	7-9	0.421	-	-	-	-	-	-
CAR	5-11	0.395	-	-	-	-	-	-
DAL	6-10	0.365	-	-	-	-	-	-
HOU	4-12	0.359	-	-	-	-	-	-
PHI	4-11-1	0.335	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYG	6-10	0.322	-	-	-	-	-	-
CIN	4-11-1	0.279	-	-	-	-	-	-
DET	5-11	0.273	-	-	-	-	-	-
DEN	5-11	0.271	-	-	-	-	-	-
JAC	1-15	0.189	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYJ	2-14	0.126	-	-	-	-	-	-

2021-01-11

Super Bowl LV Projection, Wildcard Sunday

Baltimore over New Orleans

I went 2 for 3 on Sunday, only missing Cleveland vs Pittsburgh. The bad news is, the reseeding really messes with my picks in a few contests. I picked Buffalo and Baltimore to be in the AFC championship, and now they'll play earlier.

Here are my picks and rooting for Saturday.

Los Angeles at Green Bay (57%)
Part of me still wants to root for the Rams even though they left St. Louis, and part of me wants to root for them to lose. I'll call this one a push, and just enjoy the game

Baltimore (61%) at Buffalo
I don't feel a strong rooting interest in this one either. Maybe I'll root for Baltimore, simply to troll my good friend who is a Steelers fan.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
BAL	11-5	0.791	-	++	++	60.94	41.27	24.30
NO	12-4	0.750	++	++	++	52.41	29.24	15.36
GB	13-3	0.728	++	++	++	57.09	27.62	13.76
KC	14-2	0.694	++	++	++	71.13	29.65	13.71
TB	11-5	0.731	-	++	++	47.59	25.41	12.75
BUF	13-3	0.709	++	++	++	39.06	22.54	10.80
LAR	10-6	0.668	-	++	++	42.91	17.73	7.62
CLE	11-5	0.480	-	++	++	28.87	6.54	1.70
PIT	12-4	0.707	++	++	-	-	-	-
IND	11-5	0.662	-	++	-	-	-	-
SEA	12-4	0.658	++	++	-	-	-	-
MIA	10-6	0.633	-	-	-	-	-	-
TEN	11-5	0.585	++	++	-	-	-	-
ARI	8-8	0.584	-	-	-	-	-	-
WAS	7-9	0.514	++	++	-	-	-	-
CHI	8-8	0.504	-	++	-	-	-	-
SF	6-10	0.472	-	-	-	-	-	-
ATL	4-12	0.466	-	-	-	-	-	-
NE	7-9	0.439	-	-	-	-	-	-
LV	8-8	0.427	-	-	-	-	-	-
MIN	7-9	0.424	-	-	-	-	-	-
LAC	7-9	0.421	-	-	-	-	-	-
CAR	5-11	0.395	-	-	-	-	-	-
DAL	6-10	0.365	-	-	-	-	-	-
HOU	4-12	0.359	-	-	-	-	-	-
PHI	4-11-1	0.335	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYG	6-10	0.322	-	-	-	-	-	-
CIN	4-11-1	0.279	-	-	-	-	-	-
DET	5-11	0.273	-	-	-	-	-	-
DEN	5-11	0.271	-	-	-	-	-	-
JAC	1-15	0.189	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYJ	2-14	0.126	-	-	-	-	-	-

2021-01-10

Super Bowl LV Projection, Wildcard Saturday

Baltimore over Green Bay

I refused to call this Super Wildcard Weekend. If this is the new normal, it's just Wildcard Weekend. If 14 playoff teams was a one-year thing, then I'd be on board. Anyway, the favorites remained the same, as Green Bay didn't play due to a bye, and Baltimore plays Sunday.

All 3 of my picks were correct yesterday, even the very narrow LA over Seattle

Who am I rooting for in the second half of normal Wildcard Weekend?

Baltimore (73%) at Tennessee
Just because I enjoy things that upset the system, let's root for lower seeded Baltimore to beat Tennessee

Chicago at New Orleans (75%)
I don't think they have a chance, but let's go Bears!

Cleveland at Pittsburgh (72%)
These two teams are a mess for different reasons. I'll root for Pittsburgh primarily as a proxy for one of my closest football-fan friends.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
BAL	11-5	0.791	-	++	72.90	45.28	28.45	16.94
GB	13-3	0.728	++	++	++	61.00	30.32	15.38
TB	11-5	0.731	-	++	++	50.08	27.20	13.89
BUF	13-3	0.709	++	++	++	48.90	24.38	11.86
NO	12-4	0.750	++	++	74.66	39.13	21.83	11.66
KC	14-2	0.694	++	++	++	51.51	24.22	11.37
PIT	12-4	0.707	++	++	72.38	36.08	16.96	8.22
LAR	10-6	0.668	-	++	++	42.82	18.57	8.12
TEN	11-5	0.585	++	++	27.10	10.26	3.99	1.42
CHI	8-8	0.504	-	++	25.34	6.97	2.08	0.59
CLE	11-5	0.480	-	++	27.62	7.97	2.01	0.53
IND	11-5	0.662	-	++	-	-	-	-
SEA	12-4	0.658	++	++	-	-	-	-
MIA	10-6	0.633	-	-	-	-	-	-
ARI	8-8	0.584	-	-	-	-	-	-
WAS	7-9	0.514	++	++	-	-	-	-
SF	6-10	0.472	-	-	-	-	-	-
ATL	4-12	0.466	-	-	-	-	-	-
NE	7-9	0.439	-	-	-	-	-	-
LV	8-8	0.427	-	-	-	-	-	-
MIN	7-9	0.424	-	-	-	-	-	-
LAC	7-9	0.421	-	-	-	-	-	-
CAR	5-11	0.395	-	-	-	-	-	-
DAL	6-10	0.365	-	-	-	-	-	-
HOU	4-12	0.359	-	-	-	-	-	-
PHI	4-11-1	0.335	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYG	6-10	0.322	-	-	-	-	-	-
CIN	4-11-1	0.279	-	-	-	-	-	-
DET	5-11	0.273	-	-	-	-	-	-
DEN	5-11	0.271	-	-	-	-	-	-
JAC	1-15	0.189	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYJ	2-14	0.126	-	-	-	-	-	-

2021-01-04

Super Bowl LV Projection, Week 17

Baltimore over Green Bay

note: I completely forgot to post this, but I've backdated it to the normal time it would have posted just to avoid confusing myself later

With the regular season over, out of nowhere, Baltimore takes over the AFC lead. They had been lurking for awhile as the strongest team, but thanks to a slightly unlucky record comparatively, and a very strong division rival and conference overall, they hadn't even officially locked up a playoff spot until the last day. I've got them at 73% likely to win at Tennessee, who is also 11-5. And they'll be favored against anyone else they play, too, though not by as much unless it's Cleveland.

As is tradition, let's see who I'm rooting for.

Indianapolis at Buffalo (55%)
I used to favor Indianapolis a lot, which might have just been residual fandom from Manning and Faulk. This year I'd like Buffalo to win a playoff game for the first time in forever.

Los Angeles Rams (51%) at Seattle
I'm picking LA, just barely, but rooting for Seattle.

Tampa Bay (72%) at Washington
I always kind of liked Tampa in the days of Warren Sapp, so sure, let's root for them here.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
BAL	11-5	0.791	-	++	72.90	46.68	29.61	17.82
GB	13-3	0.728	++	++	++	60.53	31.59	16.14
NO	12-4	0.750	++	++	74.66	44.54	24.52	13.19
KC	14-2	0.694	++	++	++	52.46	24.48	11.68
TB	11-5	0.731	-	++	72.01	36.90	19.84	10.21
PIT	12-4	0.707	++	++	72.38	34.67	17.21	8.47
BUF	13-3	0.709	++	++	55.33	27.06	13.49	6.66
LAR	10-6	0.668	-	++	51.20	22.76	10.17	4.49
IND	11-5	0.662	-	++	44.67	20.71	8.86	3.91
SEA	12-4	0.658	++	++	48.80	20.15	9.03	3.88
TEN	11-5	0.585	++	++	27.10	10.93	4.30	1.56
WAS	7-9	0.514	++	++	27.99	8.15	2.58	0.76
CHI	8-8	0.504	-	++	25.34	6.97	2.28	0.66
CLE	11-5	0.480	-	++	27.62	7.49	2.04	0.56
MIA	10-6	0.633	-	-	-	-	-	-
ARI	8-8	0.584	-	-	-	-	-	-
SF	6-10	0.472	-	-	-	-	-	-
ATL	4-12	0.466	-	-	-	-	-	-
NE	7-9	0.439	-	-	-	-	-	-
LV	8-8	0.427	-	-	-	-	-	-
MIN	7-9	0.424	-	-	-	-	-	-
LAC	7-9	0.421	-	-	-	-	-	-
CAR	5-11	0.395	-	-	-	-	-	-
DAL	6-10	0.365	-	-	-	-	-	-
HOU	4-12	0.359	-	-	-	-	-	-
PHI	4-11-1	0.335	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYG	6-10	0.322	-	-	-	-	-	-
CIN	4-11-1	0.279	-	-	-	-	-	-
DET	5-11	0.273	-	-	-	-	-	-
DEN	5-11	0.271	-	-	-	-	-	-
JAC	1-15	0.189	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYJ	2-14	0.126	-	-	-	-	-	-

2021-01-03

NCAA Football Power Rankings, Week 18

15 more bowls were played over the last week, bringing us to the total I predicted last week, 25. Of course there will be one more game played. One way or another, they'll get the national championship game in. #1 Alabama beat #6 Notre Dame soundly to remain on top, while #21 Ohio State climbed 9 spots by beating #5 Clemson. If Ohio State wins, this may be one of the rare years my rankings don't place the champion at #1. I tried to look through the history, but it appears I've missed posting the final results a few times. It has definitely happened at least once before, though.

1	Alabama	12-0
2	Coastal Carolina	11-1
3	BYU	11-1
4	Louisiana	10-1
5	Clemson	10-2
6	Notre Dame	10-2
7	Iowa State	9-3
8	Cincinnati	9-1
9	Texas A&M	9-1
10	Oklahoma	9-2
11	Liberty	10-1
12	Appalachian State	9-3
13	Miami	8-3
14	Georgia	8-2
15	Oklahoma State	8-3
16	Army	9-3
17	Florida	8-4
18	NC State	8-4
19	North Carolina	8-4
20	Memphis	8-3
21	Ohio State	7-0
22	Texas	7-3
23	Georgia Southern	8-5
24	San Jose State	7-1
25	Ball State	7-1
26	SMU	7-3
27	UTSA	7-5
28	Marshall	7-3
29	Northwestern	7-2
30	UAB	6-3
31	Nevada	7-2
32	Tulsa	6-3
33	TCU	6-4
34	Georgia State	6-4
35	Auburn	6-5
36	West Virginia	6-4
37	UCF	6-4
T-38	Indiana	6-2
T-38	Pittsburgh	6-5
40	Buffalo	6-1
41	Boston College	6-5
42	Tulane	6-6
43	Iowa	6-2
44	Virginia Tech	5-6
45	Louisiana Tech	5-5
46	Virginia	5-5
47	Boise State	5-2
48	LSU	5-5
49	Troy	5-6
50	Ole Miss	5-5
51	Kentucky	5-6
52	Missouri	5-5
53	USC	5-1
54	Florida Atlantic	5-4
55	Hawai'i	5-4
56	Western Kentucky	5-7
57	Colorado	4-2
58	Kansas State	4-6
59	Wisconsin	4-3
60	Mississippi State	4-7
61	Wake Forest	4-5
62	Stanford	4-2
63	Texas Tech	4-6
64	San Diego State	4-4
65	Arkansas State	4-7
66	Oregon	4-3
67	Western Michigan	4-2
68	Toledo	4-2
69	South Alabama	4-7
70	Louisville	4-7
71	Arkansas	3-7
72	North Texas	4-6
73	Houston	3-5
T-74	Washington	3-1
T-74	Air Force	3-3
76	Penn State	4-5
77	Utah	3-2
78	Florida State	3-6
79	Kent State	3-1
80	Navy	3-7
81	Tennessee	3-7
T-82	Central Michigan	3-3
T-82	Miami (OH)	2-1
84	Middle Tennessee	3-6
85	East Carolina	3-6
86	Georgia Tech	3-7
87	Southern Mississippi	3-7
88	UTEP	3-5
89	Nebraska	3-5
90	Fresno State	3-3
91	Rice	2-3
92	UCLA	3-4
93	Minnesota	3-4
94	Maryland	2-3
95	Ohio	2-1
96	Baylor	2-7
97	Charlotte	2-4
98	Arizona State	2-2
99	Michigan State	2-5
100	Rutgers	3-6
101	Texas State	2-10
102	Eastern Michigan	2-4
103	Michigan	2-4
104	Purdue	2-4
105	South Carolina	2-8
106	New Mexico	2-5
107	Wyoming	2-4
108	Duke	2-9
109	Illinois	2-6
110	Oregon State	2-5
111	Washington State	1-3
112	Colorado State	1-3
113	California	1-3
114	Utah State	1-5
115	UMass	0-4
116	Temple	1-6
117	Syracuse	1-10
118	Akron	1-5
119	South Florida	1-8
120	Florida International	0-5
121	Kansas	0-9
122	UNLV	0-6
123	Arizona	0-5
124	Northern Illinois	0-6
125	Bowling Green	0-5
126	UL Monroe	0-10
127	Vanderbilt	0-9

2020 History and #1s
Week 1 UAB
Week 2 Army
Week 3 Miami
Week 4 Miami
Week 5 SMU
Week 6 BYU
Week 7 BYU
Week 8 BYU
Week 9 BYU
Week 10 BYU
Week 11 BYU
Week 12 BYU
Week 13 Notre Dame
Week 14 Coastal Carolina
Week 15 Coastal Carolina
Week 16 Alabama
Week 17 Alabama