2020-12-27

Super Bowl LV Projection, Week 16, Saturday

Kansas City over Green Bay

There wasn't a whole lot at stake in the 3 games Saturday. Las Vegas did get officially eliminated by losing to Miami, but that was pretty sure to happen eventually. Tampa clinched a playoff spot by beating Detroit by 40 points, also pretty likely to happen eventually. One big swing was Arizona, who went from 74% to 47% likely to make the playoffs, by losing to already-eliminated San Francisco. We're up to 13 (of 18) eliminations. Both byes could be clinched Sunday, though it will take a bit more games to fall in place for Green Bay than it would for Kansas City.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
KC13-10.709++++99.9656.1131.0817.00
NO11-40.706++++69.4140.1522.3511.81
TB10-50.708-++69.1238.2621.5411.43
GB11-30.658++++91.7549.0723.6811.21
PIT11-30.70289.53++59.1833.9817.559.46
BAL9-50.709-75.8543.6422.7712.516.85
LAR9-50.65938.1794.8552.2125.4212.716.03
MIA10-50.697-72.2740.8621.1511.165.95
SEA10-40.62961.83++50.4322.9410.644.70
TEN10-40.62368.2794.8545.8320.148.693.92
BUF11-30.618++++46.5920.658.723.89
IND10-40.64331.7374.7336.6116.907.753.66
ARI8-70.602-47.3519.818.633.751.55
WAS6-80.51680.1980.1925.308.773.161.05
CLE10-40.48910.4782.3027.338.292.540.82
CHI7-70.494-57.8018.095.901.970.62
PHI4-9-10.3857.737.731.650.390.100.02
NYG5-90.3448.568.561.590.330.070.01
DAL5-90.3433.533.530.650.130.030.01
ATL4-100.504------
SF6-90.478------
NE6-80.473------
CAR4-100.435------
LV7-80.424------
MIN6-90.420------
LAC5-90.386------
HOU4-100.368------
CIN3-10-10.329------
DEN5-90.281------
DET5-100.274------
JAC1-130.247------
NYJ1-130.155------

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 20% chance of Super Bowl win: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Pittsburgh (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 12, Sunday)
First to 99.99999% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 12, Final)
First to clinch Playoffs: New Orleans and Kansas City (Week 13, Sunday)

First team eliminated from a division: New York Jets (Week 9, Final)

First team eliminated from the playoffs: New York Jets (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Sunday] Indianapolis over Seattle
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Monday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Seattle
[Week 6, Monday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 9, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 9, Sunday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 9, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 10, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 10, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 10, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 11, Thursday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 11, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 11, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Thursday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Monday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 13, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 13, Monday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 13, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 14, Thursday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 14, Sunday] Kansas City over New Orleans
[Week 14, Final] Kansas City over New Orleans
[Week 15, Thursday] Kansas City over New Orleans
[Week 15, Saturday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 15, Sunday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 15, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 16, Friday] Kansas City over Green Bay

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