Super Bowl LV Projection, Week 12, Sunday

Pittsburgh over New Orleans

We're still waiting for a team to clinch the playoffs, but Kansas City is now over 99.99% likely to do so eventually. Pittsburgh likely could have clinched, but their game against Baltimore which was moved from Thursday to Sunday because of COVID-19, has been moved again and may not even happen. Note that these numbers all assume that all 256 games will be played and that 7 teams per conference make the playoffs, as was the plan at the start of the year. In the NFC, New Orleans got to beat up on a Denver team with no QBs, also due to COVID-19, and solidified their place on top of the conference.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
PIT	10-0	0.712	97.25	99.96	88.32	56.49	33.32	20.25
NO	9-2	0.677	99.08	99.98	85.55	53.22	32.11	16.71
KC	10-1	0.680	99.80	99.99	74.87	44.95	23.58	13.50
GB	8-3	0.607	96.89	99.17	66.38	36.00	17.53	7.82
MIA	7-4	0.659	34.35	79.37	46.21	23.21	11.89	6.53
LAR	7-4	0.603	39.41	92.65	54.29	27.41	13.46	5.95
TB	7-5	0.615	0.91	78.16	44.33	22.09	11.36	5.16
BAL	6-4	0.641	1.62	74.11	40.05	19.04	9.47	5.02
SEA	7-3	0.549	47.04	94.64	51.76	23.14	9.93	3.86
TEN	8-3	0.567	82.12	95.45	47.12	19.27	7.73	3.50
ARI	6-5	0.585	12.25	64.55	33.97	15.97	7.63	3.23
IND	7-4	0.591	17.69	58.59	28.31	11.89	5.26	2.51
BUF	8-3	0.531	64.52	89.69	39.16	14.53	5.39	2.25
CLE	8-3	0.460	1.13	71.94	25.59	7.63	2.40	0.85
WAS	4-7	0.496	35.65	36.01	14.89	5.71	2.16	0.73
SF	5-6	0.514	1.29	21.73	9.36	3.64	1.52	0.54
MIN	5-6	0.477	1.40	24.67	9.49	3.41	1.31	0.42
PHI	3-6-1	0.432	27.01	27.07	9.57	3.13	1.01	0.29
NYG	4-7	0.414	33.23	33.33	11.21	3.47	1.06	0.29
LV	6-5	0.454	0.20	24.94	8.48	2.48	0.79	0.28
CHI	5-6	0.424	1.69	20.48	6.92	2.13	0.71	0.20
NE	5-6	0.444	1.13	5.20	1.67	0.47	0.15	0.05
ATL	4-7	0.526	0.01	1.70	0.69	0.28	0.12	0.05
DAL	3-8	0.328	4.11	4.14	1.08	0.26	0.06	0.01
DET	4-7	0.368	0.02	1.40	0.40	0.10	0.03	0.01
HOU	4-7	0.446	0.20	0.61	0.20	0.06	0.02	0.01
CAR	4-8	0.460	-	0.34	0.12	0.04	0.01	0.00
DEN	4-7	0.329	-	0.14	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00
LAC	3-8	0.458	-	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
CIN	2-8-1	0.384	-	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
JAC	1-10	0.328	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYJ	0-11	0.219	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 20% chance of Super Bowl win: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Pittsburgh (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 12, Sunday)

First team eliminated from a division: New York Jets (Week 9, Final)

First team eliminated from the playoffs: New York Jets (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Sunday] Indianapolis over Seattle
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Monday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Seattle
[Week 6, Monday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 9, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 9, Sunday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 9, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 10, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 10, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 10, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 11, Thursday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 11, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 11, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Thursday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans