Super Bowl LV Projection, Week 8, Final

Kansas City over Tampa Bay

Tampa Bay really struggled to beat the 1-6 Giants, but ultimately did so. In the standings, the win is what's most important, but in projecting future games, points really matter. They did improve their chances of reaching each round just a little bit. New Orleans' 5-2 record is really what's hindering Tampa Bay from being a near-lock for their division like Kansas City (second place Las Vegas is 2.5 games back, but with a head-to-head win) and Pittsburgh (second place Baltimore is 2 games back with 1 head-to-head loss)

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
KC	7-1	0.664	94.03	99.16	76.20	45.49	26.05	15.45
TB	6-2	0.638	69.30	91.51	66.63	39.96	23.47	12.35
PIT	7-0	0.619	77.91	99.17	76.47	41.75	21.13	11.53
BAL	5-2	0.627	20.17	88.89	52.70	27.81	14.51	8.04
ARI	5-2	0.602	34.21	80.54	52.63	28.89	15.52	7.58
SEA	6-1	0.561	46.46	90.37	61.97	31.08	15.19	6.79
IND	5-2	0.614	57.59	82.05	47.50	24.16	12.22	6.61
MIA	4-3	0.612	40.32	71.93	40.09	19.92	10.09	5.44
LAR	5-3	0.588	15.49	66.56	40.60	21.35	11.13	5.27
GB	5-2	0.552	60.09	78.27	44.30	21.73	10.40	4.55
TEN	5-2	0.541	42.14	75.45	35.32	15.00	6.43	3.00
NO	5-2	0.515	29.66	70.28	37.21	16.65	7.35	2.96
SF	4-4	0.569	3.84	36.87	20.31	10.14	5.08	2.31
BUF	6-2	0.498	58.28	79.01	33.55	12.84	4.94	2.10
CHI	5-3	0.488	34.65	59.76	27.87	11.75	4.88	1.84
PHI	3-4-1	0.463	65.79	65.99	26.18	10.27	3.98	1.41
LV	4-3	0.472	4.86	35.13	13.47	4.81	1.77	0.71
CLE	5-3	0.447	1.90	43.04	15.48	5.13	1.76	0.66
WAS	2-5	0.430	23.90	24.37	8.86	3.20	1.14	0.37
DET	3-4	0.450	3.24	11.79	4.78	1.83	0.70	0.24
LAC	2-5	0.489	0.42	8.77	3.37	1.24	0.48	0.20
CAR	3-5	0.471	0.64	5.94	2.51	1.01	0.41	0.15
MIN	2-5	0.448	2.02	6.51	2.54	0.96	0.37	0.13
DEN	3-4	0.429	0.69	9.38	3.09	0.97	0.32	0.12
NE	2-5	0.433	1.40	4.55	1.55	0.49	0.17	0.06
DAL	2-6	0.373	7.17	7.23	2.24	0.69	0.21	0.06
CIN	2-5-1	0.463	0.02	2.43	0.88	0.30	0.11	0.04
NYG	1-7	0.387	3.14	3.15	1.02	0.33	0.10	0.03
ATL	2-6	0.473	0.40	0.86	0.35	0.15	0.06	0.02
HOU	1-6	0.415	0.21	0.82	0.26	0.08	0.02	0.01
JAC	1-6	0.391	0.06	0.23	0.07	0.02	0.01	0.00
NYJ	0-8	0.277	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Pittsburgh (Week 8, Sunday)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Sunday] Indianapolis over Seattle
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Monday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Seattle
[Week 6, Monday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay