Super Bowl LV Projection, Week 13, Sunday

Pittsburgh over New Orleans

We've had our first 2 teams clinch the playoffs, and somewhat interestingly, the undefeated, strongest, Superbowl favorite is not one of them. Of course, they are nearly certain to clinch, but if enough games go the wrong way, Pittsburgh could find themselves on the wrong end of a tiebreaker and out at 11-5. Kansas City, currently 11-1, won't wind up on the wrong side of those tiebreakers, and has clinched a spot, along with New Orleans.

We're up to 4 eliminated teams, and all of them are in the AFC. There are 7 teams in playoff position with 8 wins or more, so the 9+ loss teams are clearly out of range.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
PIT	11-0	0.728	99.42	100.00	92.06	60.54	36.11	22.10
NO	10-2	0.690	99.85	++	88.20	56.30	33.85	17.50
KC	11-1	0.695	99.94	++	71.82	43.78	22.82	13.08
GB	9-3	0.631	99.23	99.93	70.64	40.04	19.83	8.96
MIA	8-4	0.687	42.33	81.50	50.63	26.50	14.00	7.90
LAR	8-4	0.619	59.60	98.03	58.98	30.00	14.73	6.48
TB	7-5	0.615	0.15	80.91	45.92	21.94	10.96	4.77
SEA	8-4	0.554	36.63	96.17	49.28	21.05	8.91	3.36
IND	8-4	0.603	39.55	70.95	36.46	15.33	6.63	3.14
BAL	6-5	0.637	-	51.29	25.97	11.54	5.58	2.85
TEN	8-4	0.555	60.44	86.48	40.48	15.39	5.80	2.47
BUF	8-3	0.531	54.69	83.39	36.31	12.97	4.63	1.87
ARI	6-6	0.565	2.49	47.49	22.49	9.48	4.29	1.66
CLE	9-3	0.473	0.58	86.76	32.16	9.60	2.94	1.03
MIN	6-6	0.482	0.61	37.94	14.13	4.84	1.83	0.57
SF	5-6	0.514	1.27	25.49	10.53	3.89	1.58	0.54
WAS	4-7	0.496	27.86	28.95	11.81	4.31	1.58	0.51
NYG	5-7	0.422	61.72	61.90	21.10	6.35	1.91	0.50
LV	7-5	0.459	0.06	28.32	9.43	2.70	0.85	0.29
NE	6-6	0.541	2.98	11.31	4.68	1.65	0.65	0.27
CHI	5-7	0.419	0.13	8.44	2.62	0.71	0.23	0.06
PHI	3-8-1	0.392	5.68	5.70	1.79	0.49	0.14	0.03
DET	5-7	0.376	0.02	3.21	0.89	0.21	0.06	0.01
DAL	3-8	0.328	4.74	4.79	1.23	0.28	0.06	0.01
ATL	4-8	0.517	-	0.50	0.19	0.07	0.03	0.01
CAR	4-8	0.461	-	0.56	0.19	0.06	0.02	0.01
HOU	4-8	0.435	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
DEN	4-8	0.315	-	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
LAC	3-9	0.378	-	-	-	-	-	-
CIN	2-9-1	0.357	-	-	-	-	-	-
JAC	1-11	0.321	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYJ	0-12	0.209	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 20% chance of Super Bowl win: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Pittsburgh (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 12, Sunday)
First to 99.99999% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 12, Final)
First to clinch Playoffs: New Orleans and Kansas City (Week 13, Sunday)

First team eliminated from a division: New York Jets (Week 9, Final)

First team eliminated from the playoffs: New York Jets (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Sunday] Indianapolis over Seattle
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Monday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Seattle
[Week 6, Monday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 9, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 9, Sunday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 9, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 10, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 10, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 10, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 11, Thursday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 11, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 11, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Thursday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Monday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans