2020-12-28

Super Bowl LV Projection, Week 16, Sunday

Kansas City over Green Bay

Absolutely no one clinched a playoff spot on Sunday, which has to be a bit rare this late in the season. It was only 11 games due to the Friday, Saturday, and Monday games, but still. We did have 2 teams who previously clinched at least a wildcard now clinch their divisions (Pittsburgh and Seattle). Now the AFC South comes down to Indianapolis and Tennessee, both 10-5. Unfortunately they aren't playing each other next week. It's a 1 in 3 chance assuming the NFL schedules those last-week divisional matchups randomly. The other division up for grabs is the terrible NFC East. I'm rooting for Washington and Dallas to lose so we can have a 6-10 team in the playoffs. It just feels so much sillier than 7-9. Finally, Kansas City clinched a first round bye, which is the same as homefield advantage this year.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
KC14-10.720++++++56.2630.8216.88
GB12-30.698++++91.0252.4727.6713.85
TB10-50.708-++71.5338.5621.0610.79
NO11-40.706++++68.4839.2721.0010.71
BAL10-50.735-96.2660.3533.2018.6710.57
PIT12-30.709++++60.4034.5417.329.26
MIA10-50.697-91.8653.4626.4013.326.93
SEA11-40.651++++56.5426.7512.545.62
LAR9-60.641-84.4442.0618.728.783.84
BUF11-30.618++++44.2618.467.543.27
IND10-50.63624.9278.2535.0414.916.512.94
TEN10-50.58275.0887.6832.7112.544.741.88
ARI8-70.602-45.8119.728.113.411.35
CHI8-70.544-69.7524.398.443.171.08
WAS6-90.50065.1065.1019.686.332.090.64
CLE10-50.476-45.9413.773.681.080.33
DAL6-90.37419.7619.764.070.900.210.04
NYG5-100.31415.1415.142.510.450.080.01
ATL4-110.498------
SF6-90.478------
NE6-80.473------
CAR5-100.448------
LV7-80.424------
MIN6-90.420------
LAC6-90.389------
HOU4-110.360------
PHI4-10-10.349------
CIN4-10-10.344------
DET5-100.274------
DEN5-100.271------
JAC1-140.214------
NYJ2-130.151------

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 20% chance of Super Bowl win: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Pittsburgh (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 12, Sunday)
First to 99.99999% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 12, Final)
First to clinch Playoffs: New Orleans and Kansas City (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a first round bye and homefield in conference playoffs: Kansas City (Week 16, Sunday)

First team eliminated from a division: New York Jets (Week 9, Final)

First team eliminated from the playoffs: New York Jets (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Sunday] Indianapolis over Seattle
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Monday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Seattle
[Week 6, Monday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 9, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 9, Sunday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 9, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 10, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 10, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 10, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 11, Thursday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 11, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 11, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Thursday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Monday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 13, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 13, Monday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 13, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 14, Thursday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 14, Sunday] Kansas City over New Orleans
[Week 14, Final] Kansas City over New Orleans
[Week 15, Thursday] Kansas City over New Orleans
[Week 15, Saturday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 15, Sunday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 15, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 16, Friday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 16, Saturday] Kansas City over Green Bay

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