Super Bowl LV Projection, Week 3, Final

Kansas City over Green Bay

Kansas City beat Baltimore Monday night and took their place atop the AFC. Something I didn't noticed Sunday is that San Francisco and Indianapolis, 3rd and 4th when you sort by championship chances, are actually stronger than the top 2 teams. They're both less likely to make the playoffs by ~20 percentage points, though. Indianapolis is in 2nd place behind 3-0 Tennessee, and San Francisco is actually in last place in their division, albeit requiring some very incomplete tiebreakers to put them there, with 3 teams at 2-1 and Seattle at 3-0.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
KC	3-0	0.553	66.38	85.00	56.46	29.82	15.59	8.19
GB	3-0	0.548	53.51	83.23	55.43	29.35	15.39	7.90
SF	2-1	0.571	23.52	63.81	40.61	22.40	12.33	6.62
IND	2-1	0.570	42.06	67.07	41.13	22.35	12.10	6.56
PIT	3-0	0.543	46.86	76.50	47.59	24.52	12.55	6.47
SEA	3-0	0.535	36.62	75.85	48.27	24.77	12.64	6.34
CHI	3-0	0.525	41.18	77.79	48.74	24.45	12.17	5.98
BAL	2-1	0.560	35.33	66.30	39.61	21.06	11.17	5.94
BUF	3-0	0.527	53.56	74.77	44.28	21.98	10.83	5.40
TB	2-1	0.540	54.27	67.04	39.24	20.39	10.48	5.30
NE	2-1	0.538	36.14	63.42	36.40	18.46	9.33	4.76
TEN	3-0	0.511	46.64	70.13	39.63	18.98	9.05	4.37
ARI	2-1	0.532	21.70	58.37	34.02	17.29	8.76	4.37
LAR	2-1	0.531	18.15	55.66	32.67	16.56	8.39	4.17
LV	2-1	0.497	22.27	45.27	23.02	10.64	4.92	2.31
DAL	1-2	0.486	39.74	43.94	20.79	9.48	4.32	1.95
CLE	2-1	0.477	14.03	40.32	19.53	8.65	3.83	1.72
NO	1-2	0.490	22.03	34.12	16.75	7.80	3.61	1.65
MIA	1-2	0.511	8.96	29.26	14.72	7.01	3.35	1.62
WAS	1-2	0.463	31.79	36.30	16.42	7.12	3.08	1.32
LAC	1-2	0.487	8.49	27.33	13.15	5.94	2.69	1.24
CAR	1-2	0.475	14.64	26.49	12.68	5.70	2.55	1.13
JAC	1-2	0.474	8.65	22.08	10.21	4.50	1.98	0.89
DET	1-2	0.463	3.46	21.15	9.94	4.31	1.88	0.81
CIN	0-2-1	0.484	3.78	15.20	7.14	3.21	1.45	0.66
PHI	0-2-1	0.450	17.54	20.39	8.80	3.70	1.55	0.65
ATL	0-3	0.474	9.06	12.90	5.86	2.64	1.18	0.52
MIN	0-3	0.459	1.85	10.51	4.82	2.07	0.90	0.38
NYG	0-3	0.424	10.93	12.43	4.98	1.96	0.77	0.30
DEN	0-3	0.444	2.86	7.32	3.09	1.27	0.52	0.22
HOU	0-3	0.438	2.65	5.82	2.41	0.98	0.40	0.16
NYJ	0-3	0.416	1.34	4.22	1.66	0.63	0.24	0.10

[Week 1] Baltimore over Washington

[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Washington

[Week 2, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay

[Week 2, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay

[Week 3, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay

[Week 3, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay