2020-10-30

Super Bowl LV Projection, Week 8, Thursday

Kansas City over Tampa Bay

I should really start tracking the combined records of teams we're forced to watch in primetime with no competition. And yes I acknowledge I could just not watch football, but what's the fun in that? Thursday's teams were 1-6 Atlanta vs 3-4 Carolina. 4-10 is not a good football team. Usually that means very little will change as a result of the game, and this week was no exception. Atlanta pulled off the upset, and gave their division rival Tampa Bay a slight boost in chances to win the NFC South, but they were already pretty far ahead of these two teams, and remain only 1 win ahead of New Orleans.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
KC6-10.62591.6797.8870.5539.8921.6211.92
PIT6-00.61156.1797.5870.8638.6320.2710.87
TB5-20.63170.6985.8858.9334.6819.9410.75
BAL5-10.62839.6893.4962.3934.9319.1410.62
LAR5-20.60826.1774.9749.7327.4614.987.72
ARI5-20.60335.2277.0049.6027.1314.627.46
GB5-10.56063.7685.2354.1527.2413.236.17
TEN5-10.55863.3387.1647.3022.1510.274.95
SEA5-10.54727.1373.8145.0721.6810.294.67
IND4-20.58436.4068.6237.4218.459.124.64
SF4-30.59111.4851.8331.1516.428.594.28
MIA3-30.59236.2958.8331.5215.667.904.09
CHI5-20.49531.8568.3035.3815.156.342.56
NO4-20.51027.4454.3127.1612.145.322.22
BUF5-20.49256.9069.8029.7711.854.741.98
CLE5-20.4674.1563.8426.199.633.621.42
PHI2-4-10.43946.3546.4517.436.412.340.82
DET3-30.4843.9019.829.013.761.560.61
LAC2-40.4902.4018.837.723.021.220.51
LV3-30.4605.1324.039.243.371.260.49
WAS2-50.43027.5227.7310.143.641.290.44
DAL2-50.39920.1220.206.812.250.740.23
NE2-40.4396.8011.684.231.460.520.19
CAR3-50.4711.105.252.190.900.360.14
DEN2-40.4240.806.062.070.680.230.08
NYG1-60.3916.016.031.990.650.210.06
MIN1-50.4400.492.170.830.310.120.04
ATL2-60.4730.771.010.410.180.070.03
CIN1-5-10.4430.011.050.380.130.050.02
HOU1-60.4140.210.890.290.090.030.01
JAC1-60.3900.060.240.070.020.010.00
NYJ0-70.3090.000.010.000.000.000.00

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Sunday] Indianapolis over Seattle
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Monday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Seattle
[Week 6, Monday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay

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