2021-01-17

Super Bowl LV Projection, Divisional Sunday

Tampa Bay over Buffalo

With 3 games to go, the remaining 4 teams are pretty evenly matched. I should try to come up with a good measure for how evenly, that is, how close to 25-25-25-25 odds we are. Maybe during the off week.

Who am I rooting for to make it to the Superbowl?

Tampa Bay (50.4%) at Green Bay
Both games are close, but this one rounds to 50-50. For some reason I feel like I'd rather see Tampa Bay win, maybe because Green Bay has had so much success in my lifetime, or at least it feels that way.

Buffalo (51.7%) at Kansas City
I'm rooting for the underdog in this one, the team physically closest to being my hometown team, Kansas City.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
TB11-50.731-++++++50.3627.01
GB13-30.728++++++++49.6426.44
BUF13-30.708++++++++51.7024.49
KC14-20.694++++++++48.3022.06
BAL11-50.791-++++---
NO12-40.750++++++---
PIT12-40.707++++----
LAR10-60.668-++++---
IND11-50.662-++----
SEA12-40.657++++----
MIA10-60.633------
TEN11-50.585++++----
ARI8-80.584------
WAS7-90.514++++----
CHI8-80.504-++----
CLE11-50.480-++++---
SF6-100.472------
ATL4-120.466------
NE7-90.439------
LV8-80.427------
MIN7-90.424------
LAC7-90.421------
CAR5-110.395------
DAL6-100.365------
HOU4-120.359------
PHI4-11-10.335------
NYG6-100.322------
CIN4-11-10.279------
DET5-110.273------
DEN5-110.271------
JAC1-150.189------
NYJ2-140.126------

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 20% chance of Super Bowl win: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Pittsburgh (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 12, Sunday)
First to 99.99999% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 12, Final)
First to clinch Playoffs: New Orleans and Kansas City (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a first round bye and homefield in conference playoffs: Kansas City (Week 16, Sunday)

First team eliminated from a division: New York Jets (Week 9, Final)

First team eliminated from the playoffs: New York Jets (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Sunday] Indianapolis over Seattle
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Monday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Seattle
[Week 6, Monday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 9, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 9, Sunday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 9, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 10, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 10, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 10, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 11, Thursday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 11, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 11, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Thursday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Monday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 13, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 13, Monday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 13, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 14, Thursday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 14, Sunday] Kansas City over New Orleans
[Week 14, Final] Kansas City over New Orleans
[Week 15, Thursday] Kansas City over New Orleans
[Week 15, Saturday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 15, Sunday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 15, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 16, Friday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 16, Saturday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 16, Sunday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 16, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 17] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Wildcard Saturday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Wildcard Sunday] Baltimore over New Orleans
[Divisional Saturday] Buffalo over Green Bay

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