2020-12-09

Super Bowl LV Projection, Week 13, Final

Pittsburgh over New Orleans

We had a post-Monday game for the second week in a row, as Baltimore beat Dallas. Dallas is on the brink but is not quite eliminated from the playoffs yet, even at 3-9. They could even still be a wildcard team. Baltimore is more likely than not to make the playoffs, but it far from clinching, currently at about 60% likely.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
PIT11-10.72898.70100.0088.1856.9733.7220.60
NO10-20.69099.85++88.2756.2033.7217.42
KC11-10.69599.94++74.6445.0223.6013.53
GB9-30.63199.2399.9470.7339.8819.738.91
MIA8-40.68728.9979.2247.9224.9813.197.44
LAR8-40.61960.0298.7558.9829.8614.656.44
TB7-50.6150.1583.0646.4022.1311.044.80
BAL7-50.667-59.9832.6215.668.054.37
SEA8-40.55437.3297.3249.1920.948.853.33
IND8-40.60339.5765.9933.2314.046.052.87
BUF9-30.54868.9492.7542.0615.795.832.45
TEN8-40.55560.4284.0238.5014.645.502.34
ARI6-60.5652.5650.0523.449.854.451.72
WAS5-70.50948.0649.8720.937.882.981.00
CLE9-30.4731.3083.3130.539.102.780.97
MIN6-60.4820.6138.4014.174.831.830.57
NYG5-70.42247.5148.1916.324.901.470.39
LV7-50.4590.0625.848.662.500.780.26
SF5-70.4940.1116.006.012.050.810.26
NE6-60.5412.078.883.651.300.510.21
CHI5-70.4190.139.022.780.750.250.06
PHI3-8-10.3923.653.691.150.320.090.02
DET5-70.3760.033.530.970.230.070.02
ATL4-80.517-0.650.250.090.040.01
CAR4-80.461-0.720.240.070.030.01
DAL3-90.3020.770.810.190.040.010.00
HOU4-80.4350.010.010.000.000.000.00
DEN4-80.315-0.000.000.000.000.00
LAC3-90.378------
CIN2-9-10.357------
JAC1-110.321------
NYJ0-120.209------

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 20% chance of Super Bowl win: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Pittsburgh (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 12, Sunday)
First to 99.99999% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 12, Final)
First to clinch Playoffs: New Orleans and Kansas City (Week 13, Sunday)

First team eliminated from a division: New York Jets (Week 9, Final)

First team eliminated from the playoffs: New York Jets (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Sunday] Indianapolis over Seattle
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Monday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Seattle
[Week 6, Monday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 9, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 9, Sunday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 9, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 10, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 10, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 10, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 11, Thursday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 11, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 11, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Thursday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Monday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 13, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 13, Monday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans

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