I'm pretty sure I mention this caveat every year, at least every year if one or more of the top seeds don't play until Divisional Sunday, but the conference favorites right now are obviously the 2 teams that have already clinched a spot in the game. Green Bay will definitely not be favored against either opponent they ultimately face, but at 48% they have a higher likelihood than either New Orleans or Tampa Bay individually. Buffalo will be favored either way, so at least that part won't change after Sunday's games.
Who's up on Sunday?!
Cleveland at Kansas City (71%)
I'm rooting for KC as sort of my adopted home team, but the shine seems to be off the apple for them a little bit. Hopefully they can keep it together for 3 more games.
Tampa Bay at New Orleans (52%)
This feels like a game Tampa Bay should win, but we'll see if the eye test or my model picks the right team. I'll root for Tampa Bay, mostly because New Orleans is just a team I don't usually root for.
| TEAM | Record | Strength | Div | Plyff | WC | Qtr | Semi | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 13-3 | 0.708 | ++ | ++ | ++ | ++ | 57.71 | 26.95 |
| GB | 13-3 | 0.728 | ++ | ++ | ++ | ++ | 48.38 | 26.50 |
| NO | 12-4 | 0.750 | ++ | ++ | ++ | 52.41 | 27.66 | 15.89 |
| KC | 14-2 | 0.694 | ++ | ++ | ++ | 71.12 | 34.35 | 15.46 |
| TB | 11-5 | 0.731 | - | ++ | ++ | 47.59 | 23.97 | 13.21 |
| CLE | 11-5 | 0.480 | - | ++ | ++ | 28.88 | 7.95 | 1.98 |
| BAL | 11-5 | 0.791 | - | ++ | ++ | - | - | - |
| PIT | 12-4 | 0.707 | ++ | ++ | - | - | - | - |
| LAR | 10-6 | 0.668 | - | ++ | ++ | - | - | - |
| IND | 11-5 | 0.662 | - | ++ | - | - | - | - |
| SEA | 12-4 | 0.658 | ++ | ++ | - | - | - | - |
| MIA | 10-6 | 0.633 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| TEN | 11-5 | 0.585 | ++ | ++ | - | - | - | - |
| ARI | 8-8 | 0.584 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| WAS | 7-9 | 0.514 | ++ | ++ | - | - | - | - |
| CHI | 8-8 | 0.504 | - | ++ | - | - | - | - |
| SF | 6-10 | 0.472 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| ATL | 4-12 | 0.466 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NE | 7-9 | 0.439 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| LV | 8-8 | 0.427 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| MIN | 7-9 | 0.424 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| LAC | 7-9 | 0.421 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CAR | 5-11 | 0.395 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| DAL | 6-10 | 0.365 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| HOU | 4-12 | 0.359 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| PHI | 4-11-1 | 0.335 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NYG | 6-10 | 0.322 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CIN | 4-11-1 | 0.279 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| DET | 5-11 | 0.273 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| DEN | 5-11 | 0.271 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| JAC | 1-15 | 0.189 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NYJ | 2-14 | 0.126 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 20% chance of Super Bowl win: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Pittsburgh (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 12, Sunday)
First to 99.99999% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 12, Final)
First to clinch Playoffs: New Orleans and Kansas City (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a first round bye and homefield in conference playoffs: Kansas City (Week 16, Sunday)
First team eliminated from a division: New York Jets (Week 9, Final)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: New York Jets (Week 11, Sunday)
[Week 1] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Sunday] Indianapolis over Seattle
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Monday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Seattle
[Week 6, Monday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 9, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 9, Sunday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 9, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 10, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 10, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 10, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 11, Thursday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 11, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 11, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Thursday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Monday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 13, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 13, Monday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 13, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 14, Thursday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 14, Sunday] Kansas City over New Orleans
[Week 14, Final] Kansas City over New Orleans
[Week 15, Thursday] Kansas City over New Orleans
[Week 15, Saturday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 15, Sunday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 15, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 16, Friday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 16, Saturday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 16, Sunday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 16, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 17] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Wildcard Saturday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Wildcard Sunday] Baltimore over New Orleans
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