2020-12-26

Super Bowl LV Projection, Week 16, Friday

Kansas City over Green Bay

I feel like in past years I wanted there to be football on Christmas and there wasn't. Maybe Christmas was on an awkward day like Tuesday or Wednesday, which didn't used to have many games (until 2020). As usual, Wikipedia can come to my rescue. There have only been 22 games in history, on just 16 Christmases. Two were playoff games in 1971, then there were 20 over 15 Christmases since 1989. So the short answer is, we get games about half of the time, but with multi-year gaps sometimes.

Onto the game itself, New Orleans clinched the NFC South, and Minnesota was eliminated from the playoffs. There are now 12 teams eliminated, and 6 more eliminations to go. Saturday has 3 games, with Las Vegas the only team on the brink of elimination. Tampa could grab a wildcard spot with a win today, and Arizona could get themselves closer but not quite there.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
KC13-10.709++++99.9556.3531.3017.60
NO11-40.706++++66.7240.0523.0412.19
GB11-30.658++++91.3049.8525.0311.87
PIT11-30.70389.54++58.7933.8717.559.73
BAL9-50.709-79.4745.6624.0313.267.46
LAR9-50.65937.4398.2853.9827.2314.146.72
TB9-50.644-98.4257.4627.9113.696.28
SEA10-40.62962.57++51.4124.4011.655.16
MIA9-50.696-59.2733.2817.119.034.94
TEN10-40.62368.2896.1246.9920.718.954.18
BUF11-30.618++++47.4121.088.914.11
IND10-40.64331.7279.7439.2418.148.344.06
ARI8-60.613-73.6634.8615.897.333.13
WAS6-80.51680.1980.1930.0610.533.771.26
CLE10-40.48910.4685.2028.638.712.670.90
CHI7-70.494-29.649.453.071.100.35
PHI4-9-10.3857.737.732.020.490.120.03
NYG5-90.3448.558.551.950.410.090.02
DAL5-90.3433.523.520.800.170.040.01
LV7-70.427-0.200.060.010.000.00
ATL4-100.504------
NE6-80.473------
SF5-90.463------
CAR4-100.435------
MIN6-90.420------
LAC5-90.386------
HOU4-100.368------
DET5-90.334------
CIN3-10-10.329------
DEN5-90.281------
JAC1-130.247------
NYJ1-130.155------

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 20% chance of Super Bowl win: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Pittsburgh (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 12, Sunday)
First to 99.99999% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 12, Final)
First to clinch Playoffs: New Orleans and Kansas City (Week 13, Sunday)

First team eliminated from a division: New York Jets (Week 9, Final)

First team eliminated from the playoffs: New York Jets (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Sunday] Indianapolis over Seattle
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Monday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Seattle
[Week 6, Monday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 9, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 9, Sunday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 9, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 10, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 10, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 10, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 11, Thursday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 11, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 11, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Thursday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Monday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 12, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 13, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 13, Monday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 13, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 14, Thursday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 14, Sunday] Kansas City over New Orleans
[Week 14, Final] Kansas City over New Orleans
[Week 15, Thursday] Kansas City over New Orleans
[Week 15, Saturday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 15, Sunday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 15, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay

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