2020-11-16

Super Bowl LV Projection, Week 10, Sunday

Pittsburgh over New Orleans

Neither of the conference leaders lost, yet we have a whole new matchup after Sunday's games. Kansas City had a bye week, which is almost as good as a loss when the team behind you wins. Pittsburgh, at 9-0, is the AFC favorite for the first time this year. Green Bay and New Orleans both started 6-2 and won to rise to 7-2, but New Orleans managed to win by a few more points to move ahead. We're still talking about very small differences of course, 19.7% to 17.3%. Tampa also won and by an even larger margin, bringing their NFC chances up to almost 18%.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
PIT9-00.67290.6899.8486.4251.0628.1216.62
KC8-10.66888.8499.3972.1441.7722.4913.20
NO7-20.60076.0798.0670.3637.6919.709.07
TB7-30.62323.6889.0659.0532.6717.968.70
GB7-20.58984.5495.0865.0034.1617.327.78
BAL6-30.6518.5286.3249.5225.6613.527.70
LAR6-30.60435.4385.3252.6428.0914.796.87
MIA6-30.62953.2283.1747.6023.4211.586.31
ARI6-30.59842.6481.9248.0625.3513.166.04
IND6-30.62666.0679.2143.2321.2310.445.66
SEA6-30.53721.2577.3841.1518.718.433.36
BUF7-30.51345.0177.1931.7811.754.411.88
LV6-30.52411.1562.7026.5010.083.921.72
TEN6-30.52533.8061.9025.859.883.841.69
CHI5-40.47213.1843.9318.017.052.750.93
PHI3-5-10.44357.5957.6120.597.402.670.84
CLE6-30.4480.8041.0613.894.231.370.50
MIN3-50.4711.6411.964.811.880.740.25
SF4-60.5080.687.113.071.300.560.21
NYG3-70.41119.8219.866.492.140.710.20
WAS2-70.41913.1013.134.391.480.500.15
DET4-50.4310.648.423.061.070.380.12
NE4-50.4531.778.222.770.850.280.11
DAL2-70.3619.499.502.690.770.220.05
ATL3-60.4860.251.020.410.170.070.02
CAR3-70.4270.000.640.220.070.030.01
LAC2-70.4650.000.320.110.030.010.00
DEN3-60.3750.010.350.090.020.010.00
HOU2-70.4040.140.190.060.020.000.00
CIN2-6-10.4150.000.130.040.010.000.00
JAC1-80.3760.000.000.000.000.000.00
NYJ0-90.264-0.000.000.000.00-

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Pittsburgh (Week 8, Sunday)

First team eliminated from a division: New York Jets (Week 9, Final)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Sunday] Indianapolis over Seattle
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Monday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Seattle
[Week 6, Monday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 9, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 9, Sunday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 9, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 10, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay

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