Super Bowl LV Projection, Week 5, Thursday

Kansas City over Green Bay

It always takes me a few weeks each year to recalibrate myself and be able to know intuitively which teams are good and which are bad. Of course the networks help point that out by putting their #1 broadcast teams on games with the better teams, and in the St. Louis market I generally get the game of the week for whichever network doesn't have Kansas City that week. But on Thursdays, there's only one game, and based on past experience I'm almost predisposed to believing the teams are bad. I feel like I've seen Jacksonville-Tennessee on a Thursday night way too many times. Anyway, that's a long way around to say that Tampa and Chicago were both surprisingly good at 3-1. Nick Foles and Tom Brady got a Super Bowl LII rematch, and Foles came out victorious again. Chicago greatly increased their chances at winning the NFC North, but Green Bay still has them beat and remains the NFC favorite.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
KC	4-0	0.583	82.64	93.78	67.87	37.29	20.11	11.01
GB	4-0	0.570	66.29	91.42	65.98	36.41	19.82	10.28
IND	3-1	0.592	55.46	79.59	50.16	27.77	15.25	8.49
BAL	3-1	0.583	42.26	77.74	47.56	25.77	13.86	7.59
SEA	4-0	0.548	49.09	84.35	55.94	29.34	15.17	7.54
BUF	4-0	0.539	74.43	87.10	53.01	26.17	12.70	6.39
LAR	3-1	0.551	26.49	69.16	42.77	22.39	11.64	5.82
PIT	3-0	0.543	35.65	74.45	43.29	21.52	10.60	5.38
TB	3-2	0.550	48.56	65.18	37.27	19.52	10.10	5.04
CHI	4-1	0.512	30.38	77.20	45.55	21.76	10.34	4.76
SF	2-2	0.570	13.60	49.27	29.57	15.98	8.64	4.48
TEN	3-0	0.511	39.94	68.81	36.50	16.86	7.74	3.68
CLE	3-1	0.497	17.44	55.17	26.91	11.96	5.32	2.46
NE	2-2	0.510	20.62	45.28	22.05	10.09	4.63	2.20
ARI	2-2	0.512	10.82	38.80	20.22	9.70	4.65	2.14
NO	2-2	0.500	27.22	43.92	21.85	10.24	4.76	2.14
CAR	2-2	0.494	20.76	39.91	19.94	9.21	4.22	1.87
DAL	1-3	0.472	32.76	35.36	15.74	6.82	2.95	1.25
PHI	1-2-1	0.455	36.40	38.61	16.66	6.95	2.89	1.17
LV	2-2	0.485	10.18	29.22	13.27	5.74	2.50	1.12
CIN	1-2-1	0.500	4.65	24.14	11.30	5.06	2.28	1.06
MIA	1-3	0.494	4.40	18.20	8.30	3.65	1.62	0.74
WAS	1-3	0.438	23.50	26.19	10.85	4.35	1.74	0.68
LAC	1-3	0.474	3.41	17.70	7.75	3.26	1.39	0.61
MIN	1-3	0.469	2.19	15.95	7.42	3.20	1.40	0.58
DEN	1-3	0.466	3.78	12.72	5.43	2.25	0.94	0.41
DET	1-3	0.454	1.14	11.84	5.25	2.19	0.92	0.37
JAC	1-3	0.461	3.63	11.83	5.00	2.05	0.85	0.36
ATL	0-4	0.452	3.46	5.07	2.13	0.90	0.38	0.15
NYG	0-4	0.400	7.35	7.75	2.85	1.04	0.38	0.13
HOU	0-4	0.424	0.96	2.59	0.99	0.37	0.14	0.05
NYJ	0-4	0.401	0.55	1.70	0.61	0.21	0.08	0.03

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Sunday] Indianapolis over Seattle
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay