2020-11-02

Super Bowl LV Projection, Week 8, Sunday

Kansas City over Tampa Bay

Kansas City and Pittsburgh won their 7th game each, and are now both over 99% likely to make the playoffs. We're only a little under halfway done with the season, but remember that this year it will be even more important to be the #1 team instead of the #2 team in the conference, with only one first round bye available. I've still got the Jets with some chance of making the playoffs despite their terrible record and strength, but those days may be short, because as of this week's run it only happened about 75 in every 100 million runs.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
KC7-10.66494.0899.1675.8945.1525.8115.40
PIT7-00.61978.4399.2076.6741.7321.0911.59
TB5-20.63164.2187.3361.3436.3321.0410.89
BAL5-20.62719.7588.7852.3827.5714.368.01
ARI5-20.60234.1780.9453.5829.5416.017.81
SEA6-10.56146.3890.6363.0631.7315.666.99
IND5-20.61454.8381.2246.6223.6511.956.51
LAR5-30.58815.6067.2541.4321.9211.525.45
MIA4-30.61240.6272.1940.0519.8710.045.45
GB5-20.55260.0578.2744.8022.1310.684.67
TEN5-20.55644.9277.9637.8116.627.363.57
NO5-20.51534.4071.1437.7517.097.603.05
SF4-40.5693.8537.5520.8610.505.302.40
BUF6-20.49857.9978.9033.3012.714.882.09
CHI5-30.48834.6360.1528.3012.035.031.89
PHI3-4-10.46364.4464.6725.6810.163.971.40
LV4-30.4724.8234.9113.314.741.740.70
CLE5-30.4471.8042.1715.094.981.710.65
WAS2-50.43023.5924.088.763.191.150.37
DET3-40.4503.2612.024.921.900.740.25
LAC2-50.4890.428.693.331.220.470.20
CAR3-50.4710.826.152.621.070.440.16
MIN2-50.4482.076.722.641.010.390.13
DEN3-40.4290.689.353.060.960.320.12
NE2-50.4331.394.511.530.480.160.06
DAL2-60.3737.077.142.210.690.210.06
NYG1-60.3914.904.931.620.530.170.05
CIN2-5-10.4450.011.940.670.210.080.03
ATL2-60.4730.571.040.430.180.070.03
HOU1-60.4140.200.800.250.080.020.01
JAC1-60.3910.050.220.060.020.010.00
NYJ0-80.2770.000.000.000.000.000.00

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Pittsburgh (Week 8, Sunday)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Sunday] Indianapolis over Seattle
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Monday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Seattle
[Week 6, Monday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay

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