2020-10-27

Super Bowl LV Projection, Week 7, Final

Kansas City over Tampa Bay

We had a pretty good matchup Monday, with Chicago and LA coming into the game a combined 9-3, and of course exiting a combined 10-4. LA was behind in record but ahead in strength, and won the game to put both teams at 5-2. Chicago actually has a negative point differential now, so one would expect them to be a bit below .500. Buffalo and Cleveland are actually both 5-2 and even weaker. We'll see if those teams can maintain their luck long enough to sneak into the playoffs.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
KC6-10.62591.5797.8670.5239.8721.6111.93
PIT6-00.61156.1897.5770.8738.6420.2810.88
TB5-20.63169.4085.2058.7034.5719.9010.73
BAL5-10.62839.6893.4762.3934.9419.1510.63
LAR5-20.60826.1774.2249.3627.2914.907.68
ARI5-20.60335.2376.1049.1126.9014.517.40
GB5-10.56063.5784.5153.6427.0213.136.13
TEN5-10.55863.3287.1447.2822.1510.274.96
IND4-20.58436.4168.5837.4118.459.124.64
SEA5-10.54727.1273.0044.6721.5210.234.64
SF4-30.59111.4850.8030.6216.158.464.21
MIA3-30.59236.3058.8031.5115.667.894.09
CHI5-20.49532.0667.7835.1915.096.332.55
NO4-20.51026.8753.6326.9512.055.282.20
BUF5-20.49256.9069.7729.7511.854.731.98
CLE5-20.4674.1463.7626.169.623.611.42
PHI2-4-10.43946.5146.6017.516.452.350.83
DET3-30.4843.8819.078.693.631.510.59
LAC2-40.4902.4318.977.783.051.230.51
LV3-30.4605.2024.219.313.401.270.49
WAS2-50.43027.2727.4610.063.611.280.44
CAR3-40.4883.3812.805.702.421.020.40
DAL2-50.39920.1820.256.842.270.740.23
NE2-40.4396.8011.664.221.460.520.19
DEN2-40.4240.806.022.050.680.230.08
NYG1-60.3916.046.052.000.650.210.06
MIN1-50.4400.492.070.790.290.110.04
CIN1-5-10.4430.011.050.380.130.050.02
ATL1-60.4610.350.450.180.070.030.01
HOU1-60.4140.210.890.290.090.030.01
JAC1-60.3900.060.240.070.020.010.00
NYJ0-70.3090.000.010.000.000.000.00

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Sunday] Indianapolis over Seattle
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Monday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Seattle
[Week 6, Monday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay

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