2020-11-20

Super Bowl LV Projection, Week 11, Thursday

Pittsburgh over New Orleans

I had Arizona slightly favored for Thursday (ignoring homefield advantage... I should really implement that), but they lost by 7 to Seattle, and the NFC West flipped from 43-21 Arizona, to 39-22 Seattle. 

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
PIT9-00.67190.6899.8486.4251.0628.1216.66
KC8-10.66888.8399.3972.1441.7722.4913.23
NO7-20.60076.0498.1469.6737.3819.599.02
TB7-30.62323.7089.9759.5833.0418.218.82
GB7-20.58989.2395.9165.0834.2617.447.83
BAL6-30.6518.5286.3049.5125.6513.527.72
LAR6-30.60438.1985.5952.8528.3314.946.94
MIA6-30.62953.1983.0847.5423.3811.566.32
IND6-30.62666.0579.2043.2321.2310.445.67
SEA7-30.54939.2191.8953.5125.1611.654.77
ARI6-40.58821.8169.7137.9919.459.894.43
BUF7-30.51345.0277.2231.8011.764.411.89
LV6-30.52411.1662.6726.4910.083.921.73
TEN6-30.52533.8161.9025.869.893.851.70
PHI3-5-10.44357.7157.7320.627.442.690.84
MIN4-50.4803.2522.999.493.801.530.53
CLE6-30.4480.8041.0813.904.231.380.51
CHI5-50.4576.7626.5710.193.861.460.48
SF4-60.5080.797.713.341.410.610.23
NYG3-70.41119.8719.926.502.150.710.20
WAS2-70.41912.9813.014.351.470.500.15
DET4-50.4310.769.383.401.200.430.13
NE4-50.4531.798.332.810.860.290.11
DAL2-70.3619.449.462.670.760.220.05
ATL3-60.4860.261.200.480.200.080.03
CAR3-70.4270.000.820.280.100.030.01
LAC2-70.4650.000.320.110.030.010.00
DEN3-60.3750.010.350.090.020.010.00
HOU2-70.4040.140.200.060.020.000.00
CIN2-6-10.4150.000.130.040.010.000.00
JAC1-80.3760.000.000.000.000.000.00
NYJ0-90.264-0.000.00---

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Pittsburgh (Week 8, Sunday)

First team eliminated from a division: New York Jets (Week 9, Final)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Sunday] Indianapolis over Seattle
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Monday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Seattle
[Week 6, Monday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 9, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 9, Sunday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 9, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 10, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 10, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans
[Week 10, Final] Pittsburgh over New Orleans

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