Super Bowl LV Projection, Week 5, Sunday

Baltimore over Green Bay

Kansas City lost a tough game at home to Las Vegas, and consequently is out of the AFC lead. Baltimore is now favored 21% of the time, with KC next at 14%, with Pittsburgh sneaking up behind them at nearly 13%. In the NFC the top 3 are even closer, at 18%, 17%, and 16%. We'll get a bonus day this week with a game on Tuesday, but no early Monday game which was discussed as a possibility.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
BAL	4-1	0.622	49.64	88.92	62.06	36.44	21.26	12.31
GB	4-0	0.570	67.85	91.33	63.59	34.57	18.41	9.42
LAR	4-1	0.588	34.02	82.23	55.50	31.05	17.24	9.14
SEA	5-0	0.552	49.34	90.08	61.38	31.81	16.30	8.05
KC	4-1	0.568	66.39	85.08	53.74	28.06	14.38	7.54
PIT	4-0	0.555	32.66	81.27	50.27	25.31	12.66	6.47
BUF	4-0	0.539	70.97	84.40	50.72	24.78	11.85	5.86
IND	3-2	0.579	45.25	63.38	36.34	19.22	10.09	5.40
TB	3-2	0.550	43.43	62.29	34.67	17.83	9.07	4.46
CHI	4-1	0.512	29.60	75.19	42.51	19.95	9.29	4.21
ARI	3-2	0.553	13.76	53.06	30.00	15.38	7.89	3.90
CLE	4-1	0.511	17.27	69.11	36.26	16.39	7.41	3.46
TEN	3-0	0.511	49.80	67.41	35.49	16.24	7.33	3.43
CAR	3-2	0.508	29.86	53.25	27.07	12.65	5.87	2.64
MIA	2-3	0.544	10.61	34.27	17.55	8.54	4.15	2.08
NO	2-2	0.500	25.66	43.41	21.08	9.69	4.42	1.95
DAL	2-3	0.476	53.47	54.99	23.98	10.32	4.43	1.85
NE	2-2	0.510	18.30	39.48	19.13	8.68	3.93	1.83
LV	3-2	0.498	23.41	43.12	20.22	8.95	3.94	1.79
SF	2-3	0.520	2.88	22.69	11.69	5.57	2.68	1.24
PHI	1-3-1	0.443	26.19	27.39	10.98	4.37	1.73	0.67
LAC	1-3	0.474	5.06	15.69	6.85	2.86	1.19	0.51
DEN	1-3	0.466	5.14	11.21	4.75	1.95	0.80	0.34
DET	1-3	0.454	1.20	11.49	4.98	2.03	0.84	0.33
MIN	1-4	0.466	1.35	9.46	4.17	1.75	0.74	0.31
WAS	1-4	0.403	15.67	16.63	6.01	2.16	0.78	0.27
CIN	1-3-1	0.451	0.42	7.11	2.91	1.15	0.46	0.19
HOU	1-4	0.444	3.30	5.71	2.26	0.88	0.34	0.14
JAC	1-4	0.432	1.64	3.48	1.35	0.51	0.19	0.08
NYG	0-5	0.399	4.66	4.85	1.73	0.62	0.22	0.08
ATL	0-5	0.437	1.05	1.66	0.66	0.26	0.10	0.04
NYJ	0-5	0.371	0.12	0.36	0.12	0.04	0.01	0.00

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Sunday] Indianapolis over Seattle
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay