Super Bowl LV Projection, Week 9, Thursday

Kansas City over Tampa Bay

Green Bay beat San Francisco on Thursday night to move up to 6-2, but are still quite a bit behind 6-2 Tampa Bay. They've got a worse point differential, which, after cascading through all the playoff rounds, lowers their winning chances by quite a bit by comparison. They're still 15% likely to make the Super Bowl, though.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
KC	7-1	0.664	94.03	99.16	76.23	45.51	26.06	15.39
TB	6-2	0.638	68.88	91.78	66.12	39.38	22.98	12.09
PIT	7-0	0.619	77.91	99.17	76.49	41.77	21.15	11.48
BAL	5-2	0.627	20.17	88.91	52.73	27.83	14.52	8.01
ARI	5-2	0.602	34.88	81.40	52.08	28.37	15.14	7.40
GB	6-2	0.580	71.27	91.23	57.74	30.13	15.27	7.11
SEA	6-1	0.561	47.57	91.07	61.23	30.56	14.82	6.62
IND	5-2	0.614	57.59	81.70	47.23	24.02	12.15	6.54
MIA	4-3	0.612	39.73	71.87	40.07	19.91	10.09	5.41
LAR	5-3	0.588	16.26	68.61	41.11	21.46	11.12	5.27
TEN	5-2	0.541	42.13	75.06	35.12	14.92	6.39	2.96
NO	5-2	0.515	30.12	72.46	37.29	16.54	7.26	2.92
BUF	6-2	0.498	58.89	79.61	33.87	12.96	4.99	2.10
CHI	5-3	0.488	25.63	58.78	26.99	11.27	4.66	1.76
PHI	3-4-1	0.463	64.72	64.96	25.86	10.00	3.85	1.36
SF	4-5	0.536	1.29	18.53	8.96	4.12	1.92	0.81
LV	4-3	0.472	4.86	35.17	13.50	4.82	1.77	0.70
CLE	5-3	0.447	1.90	43.12	15.52	5.14	1.76	0.66
WAS	2-5	0.430	24.68	25.17	9.17	3.26	1.15	0.37
DET	3-4	0.450	2.00	11.77	4.69	1.78	0.68	0.23
LAC	2-5	0.489	0.42	8.79	3.38	1.25	0.48	0.20
CAR	3-5	0.471	0.61	5.87	2.42	0.97	0.39	0.14
MIN	2-5	0.448	1.11	6.75	2.58	0.97	0.37	0.13
DEN	3-4	0.429	0.69	9.40	3.10	0.97	0.32	0.12
NE	2-5	0.433	1.37	4.55	1.55	0.49	0.17	0.06
DAL	2-6	0.373	7.44	7.51	2.33	0.71	0.21	0.06
CIN	2-5-1	0.463	0.02	2.44	0.88	0.30	0.11	0.04
NYG	1-7	0.387	3.16	3.17	1.03	0.33	0.10	0.03
ATL	2-6	0.473	0.39	0.95	0.38	0.16	0.06	0.02
HOU	1-6	0.415	0.22	0.83	0.26	0.08	0.03	0.01
JAC	1-6	0.391	0.06	0.22	0.07	0.02	0.01	0.00
NYJ	0-8	0.277	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Pittsburgh (Week 8, Sunday)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Sunday] Indianapolis over Seattle
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Monday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Seattle
[Week 6, Monday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay