2020-11-17

Super Bowl LV Projection, Week 10, Final

Pittsburgh over New Orleans

Minnesota beat Chicago Monday night, but as each teams had (and still has) a strength below .500, my Super Bowl projection was unaffected. Green Bay got a 5 point boost in their division chances (84.5% to 89.2%), but their overall playoff chances went up less than 1 point, so New Orleans remains the NFC favorite.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
PIT9-00.67190.6899.8486.4151.0528.1216.60
KC8-10.66888.8499.3972.1441.7722.4913.19
NO7-20.60076.0498.0970.1837.5619.599.02
TB7-30.62323.7089.7959.5032.8618.048.74
GB7-20.58989.2395.7665.5234.4017.427.83
BAL6-30.6518.5286.3149.5125.6613.527.69
LAR6-30.60435.4186.6453.2928.3914.926.93
MIA6-30.62953.2183.1647.5923.4111.586.31
ARI6-30.59842.6483.2148.8025.7013.326.11
IND6-30.62666.0579.2043.2321.2310.445.65
SEA6-30.53721.2680.4642.6219.328.693.47
BUF7-30.51345.0277.1931.7911.754.411.88
LV6-30.52411.1662.7026.5010.083.921.72
TEN6-30.52533.8161.9125.859.893.851.69
PHI3-5-10.44357.6457.6720.547.372.650.83
CLE6-30.4480.8041.0713.904.231.380.50
MIN4-50.4803.2520.968.673.461.390.48
CHI5-50.4576.7526.059.963.751.420.46
SF4-60.5080.687.743.331.400.610.22
NYG3-70.41119.8419.896.472.130.700.20
WAS2-70.41913.1013.144.381.470.500.15
DET4-50.4310.779.183.321.160.410.13
NE4-50.4531.778.232.780.850.280.11
DAL2-70.3619.419.422.650.750.220.05
ATL3-60.4860.261.200.480.200.080.03
CAR3-70.4270.000.800.270.090.030.01
LAC2-70.4650.000.320.110.030.010.00
DEN3-60.3750.010.350.090.020.010.00
HOU2-70.4040.140.200.060.020.000.00
CIN2-6-10.4150.000.130.040.010.000.00
JAC1-80.3760.000.000.000.000.000.00
NYJ0-90.264-0.000.00---

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Pittsburgh (Week 8, Sunday)

First team eliminated from a division: New York Jets (Week 9, Final)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Sunday] Indianapolis over Seattle
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Monday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Seattle
[Week 6, Monday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 9, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 9, Sunday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 9, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 10, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 10, Sunday] Pittsburgh over New Orleans

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