Super Bowl LIV Projection, Championship Sunday

San Francisco over Kansas City

I'm a little late in posting this, but I got it in before the next game, so I'll call that a win. San Francisco remains the favorite, as they have been in the NFC since week 5. Kansas City has come back from early deficits in both games of the playoffs so far, so I won't count them out even if they give up some points early. This is one of the closer games since I've been projecting

XLVI New England over New York (78%)
XLVII San Francisco over Baltimore (67%)
XLVIII Seattle over Denver (63%)
XLIX Seattle over New England (55%)
50 Carolina over Denver (71%)
LI New England over Atlanta (70%)
LII Philadelphia over New England (50.6%)
LIII Los Angeles over New England (52%)

Now these are not locks, they're likelihood projections, but if you just take the favorite each year as my pick, the system is only 3-5. I'd have done just as well by just picking New England every year during the preseason. I'm kind of smelling another upset this year too, but we'll see what happens.

But who am I rooting for?

San Francisco (54%) vs Kansas City
Kansas City, of course. They're pretty much my #1 team now. Go Chefs!

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
SF	13-3	0.786	++	++	++	++	++	54.0
KC	12-4	0.758	++	++	++	++	++	46.0
BAL	14-2	0.869	++	++	++	-	-	-
NE	12-4	0.866	++	++	-	-	-	-
MIN	10-6	0.708	-	++	++	-	-	-
NO	13-3	0.708	++	++	-	-	-	-
TEN	9-7	0.642	-	++	++	++	-	-
BUF	10-6	0.640	-	++	-	-	-	-
GB	13-3	0.634	++	++	++	++	-	-
PHI	9-7	0.563	++	++	-	-	-	-
SEA	11-5	0.513	-	++	++	-	-	-
HOU	10-6	0.486	++	++	++	-	-	-

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England and Dallas (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 5, Sunday)
First to 30% chance of Superbowl win; New England (Week 8, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England, Dallas, and Kansas City (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 6, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 12, Sunday)
First to clinch a Playoff spot: New Orleans (Week 13, Thursday)
First to clinch a first round bye: Baltimore (Week 16, Sunday)
First to clinch homefield in conference playoffs: Baltimore (Week 16, Sunday)

First team eliminated from a division: Cincinnati (Week 10, Sunday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2. Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 2, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 5, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 11, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 11, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 11, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 12, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 12, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 12, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 13, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 13, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 13, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 14, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 14, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 14, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 15, Thursday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 15, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 15, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 16, Saturday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 16, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 16, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 17] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Wildcard Saturday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Wildcard Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Divisional Saturday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Divisional Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City