Cleveland beat Pittsburgh, and earned the longest suspension for in-game antics in history, so it was kind of an up and down day for them. That knocked Pittsburgh out of playoff position, although I still give them a 37% chance of clawing their way back in. The biggest winner was Baltimore, who is now 95.1% likely to win the AFC North, up from 88.5%, while Pittsburgh fell from 11% to 3.3%. New England also crossed the 99.95% mark due to a weakened field, which rounds to 100.0 in my table here. I'll continue to report when they add more nines to their actual number, and that 100.0 will become a "+" if or when they actually clinch.
TEAM | Record | Strength | Div | Plyff | WC | Qtr | Semi | Champ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NE | 8-1 | 0.755 | 97.6 | 100.0 | 98.4 | 70.6 | 46.4 | 29.0 |
SF | 8-1 | 0.719 | 79.7 | 98.5 | 90.2 | 58.1 | 36.7 | 19.9 |
BAL | 7-2 | 0.668 | 95.1 | 97.7 | 87.7 | 53.3 | 25.0 | 13.1 |
MIN | 7-3 | 0.655 | 29.8 | 86.7 | 60.5 | 32.6 | 16.8 | 7.9 |
GB | 8-2 | 0.590 | 69.5 | 94.4 | 74.7 | 35.9 | 15.4 | 6.2 |
DAL | 5-4 | 0.647 | 66.3 | 68.5 | 38.3 | 19.6 | 10.0 | 4.6 |
HOU | 6-3 | 0.589 | 60.1 | 78.8 | 53.4 | 22.6 | 9.0 | 4.0 |
NO | 7-2 | 0.547 | 75.6 | 82.9 | 52.4 | 21.8 | 8.5 | 3.1 |
KC | 6-4 | 0.579 | 64.4 | 70.7 | 42.0 | 16.5 | 6.6 | 2.8 |
SEA | 8-2 | 0.537 | 19.5 | 79.0 | 43.7 | 16.7 | 6.7 | 2.4 |
BUF | 6-3 | 0.561 | 2.4 | 75.7 | 39.3 | 13.8 | 5.5 | 2.3 |
PHI | 5-4 | 0.521 | 33.7 | 39.5 | 17.5 | 6.7 | 2.6 | 0.9 |
IND | 5-4 | 0.502 | 26.0 | 38.8 | 18.6 | 5.9 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
PIT | 5-5 | 0.495 | 3.3 | 37.0 | 16.7 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
LAR | 5-4 | 0.569 | 0.8 | 15.2 | 7.7 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
CAR | 5-4 | 0.494 | 23.4 | 28.6 | 12.1 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
TEN | 5-5 | 0.514 | 9.9 | 21.2 | 10.3 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
OAK | 5-4 | 0.441 | 26.6 | 40.3 | 17.0 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
LAC | 4-6 | 0.530 | 7.8 | 9.6 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
JAC | 4-5 | 0.470 | 4.1 | 15.6 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
CHI | 4-5 | 0.513 | 0.7 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
CLE | 4-6 | 0.422 | 1.6 | 12.0 | 4.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
DEN | 3-6 | 0.445 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
TB | 3-6 | 0.471 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
DET | 3-5-1 | 0.463 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
ATL | 2-7 | 0.380 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
ARI | 3-6-1 | 0.394 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
NYG | 2-8 | 0.349 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
NYJ | 2-7 | 0.298 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
MIA | 2-7 | 0.265 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
WAS | 1-8 | 0.280 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
CIN | 0-9 | 0.292 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England and Dallas (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 5, Sunday)
First to 30% chance of Superbowl win; New England (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England, Dallas, and Kansas City (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 6, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Sunday)
First team eliminated from a division: Cincinnati (Week 10, Sunday)
[Week 1] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2. Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 2, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 5, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Final] New England over San Francisco
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