2019-12-13

Super Bowl LIV Projection, Week 15, Thursday

Baltimore over San Francisco

For the first time since the middle of week 2, Baltimore is back on top of the AFC. It may be short-lived if New England can win this week, but since Baltimore had the Thursday game, they had a chance to jump ahead for a few days. They've also clinched the AFC North, which eliminated Pittsburgh from doing so.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
BAL12-20.815++++99.973.541.427.3
NE10-30.81797.7100.097.169.839.426.0
SF11-20.77583.399.994.965.845.922.0
MIN9-40.67527.276.649.324.412.44.5
NO10-30.590++++75.035.913.13.7
KC9-40.660++++61.019.47.13.3
GB10-30.58172.393.061.928.710.42.9
BUF9-40.6492.397.553.016.15.72.6
DAL6-70.63170.370.338.017.27.72.5
SEA10-30.53716.797.152.018.06.51.6
TEN8-50.62950.169.436.510.33.51.5
LAR8-50.602-30.615.55.72.70.8
PIT8-50.541-60.124.65.21.40.5
HOU8-50.51648.065.925.65.11.30.4
PHI6-70.49229.729.712.03.91.20.3
CHI7-60.5280.52.91.20.40.10.0
IND6-70.5021.93.41.30.20.10.0
CLE6-70.461-3.21.00.20.00.0
DEN5-80.439-0.20.10.00.00.0
OAK6-70.305-0.30.10.00.00.0
LAC5-80.584------
TB6-70.495------
ATL4-90.420------
DET3-9-10.408------
CAR5-80.392------
ARI3-9-10.320------
NYJ5-90.301------
JAC4-90.290------
NYG2-110.290------
CIN1-120.244------
WAS3-100.243------
MIA3-100.212------

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England and Dallas (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 5, Sunday)
First to 30% chance of Superbowl win; New England (Week 8, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England, Dallas, and Kansas City (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 6, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 12, Sunday)
First to clinch a Playoff spot: New Orleans (Week 13, Thursday)

First team eliminated from a division: Cincinnati (Week 10, Sunday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2. Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 2, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 5, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 11, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 11, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 11, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 12, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 12, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 12, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 13, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 13, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 13, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 14, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 14, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 14, Final] New England over San Francisco

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