2019-12-03

Super Bowl LIV Projection, Week 13, Final

New England over San Francisco

Seattle beat Minnesota, and things are getting crowded at the top. Five teams are 10-2, 2 of them in the same division (the NFC West). While I have San Francisco favored right about 2:1 to win the division, they have a game against Seattle remaining, which would have a huge influence on a tiebreaker if they wind up tied. We could wind up in a situation with a wildcard team with a better record than 2 or 3 division winners.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
NE10-20.81196.4100.098.271.644.028.8
SF10-20.77966.699.889.262.543.922.9
BAL10-20.77299.5100.099.067.534.320.7
NO10-20.600++++84.640.515.65.0
MIN8-40.64624.379.847.822.610.53.8
BUF9-30.6633.697.255.019.57.83.7
DAL6-60.64483.784.042.320.19.63.5
KC8-40.64499.199.254.118.06.93.1
SEA10-20.56433.399.262.123.69.22.7
GB9-30.56975.394.756.324.48.82.6
HOU8-40.54364.884.039.39.62.81.0
TEN7-50.59030.151.126.17.42.41.0
LAR7-50.5680.123.211.04.11.60.5
PIT7-50.5270.548.020.64.81.30.5
PHI5-70.48016.316.35.61.80.60.1
IND6-60.5095.113.25.51.20.30.1
CHI6-60.5110.42.81.20.40.10.0
CLE5-70.444-2.60.90.20.00.0
OAK6-60.3370.74.41.10.10.00.0
TB5-70.490-0.10.00.00.00.0
DEN4-80.4020.20.30.10.00.00.0
LAC4-80.507-0.00.00.00.00.0
CAR5-70.426-0.00.00.00.00.0
JAC4-80.351-0.00.00.00.00.0
NYJ4-80.335-0.00.00.00.00.0
WAS3-90.2580.00.00.00.00.00.0
DET3-8-10.435------
ATL3-90.383------
ARI3-8-10.334------
NYG2-100.305------
CIN1-110.260------
MIA3-90.224------

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England and Dallas (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 5, Sunday)
First to 30% chance of Superbowl win; New England (Week 8, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England, Dallas, and Kansas City (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 6, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 12, Sunday)
First to clinch a Playoff spot: New Orleans (Week 13, Thursday)

First team eliminated from a division: Cincinnati (Week 10, Sunday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2. Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 2, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 5, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 11, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 11, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 11, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 12, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 12, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 12, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 13, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 13, Sunday] New England over San Francisco

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