Super Bowl LIV Projection, Week 10, Final

New England over San Francisco

San Francisco lost, and we have no more undefeated teams in the NFL this year. It was a divisional game too, so it gave their divisional chances quite a blow, down to 79.7% from 91.6%. Before Monday, I had San Francisco with a 4.5% chance of going undefeated. Now they are 7.1% likely to go 15-1, while New England is 12.2% likely to win the rest of their games to go 15-1. Just for fun, Cincinnati is 3.8% likely to go 0-16.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
NE	8-1	0.755	97.7	99.9	98.3	70.0	46.2	28.9
SF	8-1	0.719	79.7	98.5	90.2	58.1	36.7	19.9
BAL	7-2	0.668	88.5	97.0	85.9	51.7	24.4	12.8
MIN	7-3	0.655	29.8	86.7	60.5	32.7	16.8	7.9
GB	8-2	0.590	69.5	94.5	74.7	35.9	15.4	6.2
DAL	5-4	0.647	66.3	68.5	38.3	19.6	10.0	4.7
HOU	6-3	0.589	60.1	76.7	51.2	21.8	8.7	3.9
NO	7-2	0.547	75.6	82.9	52.4	21.8	8.5	3.1
KC	6-4	0.579	64.4	69.7	40.4	16.0	6.4	2.7
SEA	8-2	0.537	19.5	79.0	43.7	16.7	6.7	2.4
BUF	6-3	0.561	2.3	72.8	37.8	13.3	5.3	2.2
PIT	5-4	0.527	11.0	61.6	32.2	11.1	3.9	1.5
PHI	5-4	0.521	33.7	39.5	17.5	6.7	2.6	0.9
IND	5-4	0.502	26.0	36.3	17.1	5.5	1.8	0.6
LAR	5-4	0.569	0.8	15.1	7.7	3.2	1.4	0.5
CAR	5-4	0.494	23.4	28.6	12.1	4.3	1.5	0.5
OAK	5-4	0.441	26.5	38.4	15.9	4.3	1.2	0.4
TEN	5-5	0.514	9.9	18.1	8.7	2.8	1.0	0.4
LAC	4-6	0.530	7.8	9.1	4.3	1.4	0.5	0.2
JAC	4-5	0.470	4.1	14.0	5.8	1.6	0.5	0.2
CHI	4-5	0.513	0.7	4.5	2.1	0.8	0.3	0.1
CLE	3-6	0.397	0.5	4.2	1.5	0.3	0.1	0.0
DEN	3-6	0.445	1.3	2.2	0.9	0.2	0.1	0.0
TB	3-6	0.470	0.9	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0
DET	3-5-1	0.463	0.1	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0
ATL	2-7	0.380	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
ARI	3-6-1	0.394	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
NYG	2-8	0.349	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
NYJ	2-7	0.298	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
MIA	2-7	0.265	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
WAS	1-8	0.280	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
CIN	0-9	0.292	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England and Dallas (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 5, Sunday)
First to 30% chance of Superbowl win; New England (Week 8, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England, Dallas, and Kansas City (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 6, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Sunday)

First team eliminated from a division: Cincinnati (Week 10, Sunday)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2. Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 2, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 5, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Sunday] New England over San Francisco