Super Bowl LIV Projection, Week 3, Thursday

New England over Dallas

This year, if you count Thanksgiving, every team plays a Thursday game except Cincinnati and Miami, and leaving out Miami was either a wise or fortunate decision on the part of the NFL (side note, Dallas and Chicago play against each other on a Thursday and play on Thanksgiving, but not against each other). Ever since the NFL moved to having a Thursday game nearly every week, except non-turkey holidays and week 17, it seems Tennessee and Jacksonville have faced off almost every year. As it turns out, it's been 5 of the last 6. Not every matchup is a division rival, so I'm not sure why these two seem to go together so much. Either way, it's usually seen as whatever the opposite of a marquee game is. Gardner Minshew got his chance to be seen being successful on national TV, but the 20-7 win was a little low scoring in a league averaging over 43 points a game this year.

No huge changes in the grid since the AFC South wasn't well-represented near the top. Tennessee is no longer the favorite to win that division, with Indianapolis and Houston both now surpassing them, but no one's really looking at that this early.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
NE	2-0	0.562	52.78	76.38	58.73	32.06	17.35	9.41
BAL	2-0	0.558	65.99	76.38	58.92	31.87	17.00	9.15
DAL	2-0	0.542	63.03	71.81	53.14	28.15	14.78	7.58
KC	2-0	0.546	55.09	70.64	52.73	27.74	14.39	7.56
SF	2-0	0.550	37.38	63.18	47.39	25.48	13.64	7.10
GB	2-0	0.539	46.52	63.74	47.66	25.06	13.06	6.65
BUF	2-0	0.533	40.98	66.48	47.28	24.05	12.22	6.27
LAR	2-0	0.537	33.04	59.87	43.67	22.78	11.86	6.02
SEA	2-0	0.506	22.76	45.82	30.73	14.96	7.28	3.47
DET	1-0-1	0.507	24.56	40.86	27.35	13.38	6.52	3.11
MIN	1-1	0.525	18.46	36.47	24.13	12.23	6.19	3.07
TEN	1-2	0.533	22.55	36.29	23.08	11.65	5.87	3.01
LAC	1-1	0.507	23.72	41.58	26.35	12.62	6.02	2.93
HOU	1-1	0.498	27.14	38.46	23.75	11.14	5.20	2.48
IND	1-1	0.492	30.11	40.71	24.69	11.40	5.25	2.48
PHI	1-1	0.502	25.39	35.73	22.06	10.67	5.15	2.43
TB	1-1	0.482	32.36	37.66	21.71	9.96	4.56	2.07
JAC	1-2	0.495	20.20	30.35	17.35	8.05	3.73	1.77
ATL	1-1	0.475	27.61	32.89	18.77	8.47	3.83	1.71
CLE	1-1	0.478	18.95	31.35	18.04	8.12	3.66	1.67
OAK	1-1	0.477	14.77	29.98	17.20	7.70	3.44	1.58
NO	1-1	0.471	26.28	31.12	17.47	7.82	3.49	1.54
CHI	1-1	0.479	10.46	22.23	13.27	6.11	2.81	1.27
ARI	0-1-1	0.488	6.82	19.31	11.47	5.37	2.52	1.16
CAR	0-2	0.482	13.75	17.43	9.45	4.34	1.99	0.90
DEN	0-2	0.475	6.41	13.81	7.56	3.36	1.50	0.68
CIN	0-2	0.460	8.10	15.70	8.34	3.59	1.55	0.68
WAS	0-2	0.476	6.02	11.68	6.41	2.93	1.34	0.60
PIT	0-2	0.450	6.96	12.84	6.54	2.75	1.17	0.50
NYG	0-2	0.451	5.56	10.19	5.33	2.30	0.99	0.42
NYJ	0-2	0.450	3.34	9.90	5.01	2.11	0.89	0.39
MIA	0-2	0.438	2.90	9.16	4.43	1.80	0.74	0.31

[Week 1] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2. Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 2, Final] New England over Dallas