2019-12-02

Super Bowl LIV Projection, Week 13, Sunday

New England over San Francisco

This was supposed to be the things started clearing up, but things just got muddier. After the way the daytime games went, including a San Francisco loss (for real this time!), I noticed that everything was going against the clinching scenarios. One that was still viable was going into the night game was New England clinching with a win, thanks to Oakland's loss. When they were up 3-0, I unironically texted a friend of mine and told him I predicted a New England loss, because no one seemed to want to clinch this week. And sure enough, Houston beat them. I would say handily, but New England ultimately made it a close game and only lost by 6.

No one will clinch on Monday night either, but Seattle could join 4 other teams at the top of the league at 10-2. And if not, Minnesota will be 9-3 along with 2 other teams, just one game back of the league leaders. Suddenly it feels like parity.

Arizona, the New York Giants, and Miami joined Detroit, Atlanta, and Cincinnati in being eliminated from the playoffs. Arizona and New York lost, but Miami was eliminated despite their win over Philadelphia. Cincinnati actually won their first game of the year, but entirely too late to matter.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
NE10-20.81196.4100.098.271.644.028.6
SF10-20.77977.799.792.164.444.623.3
BAL10-20.77299.5100.099.067.534.320.5
MIN8-30.66237.491.061.330.814.55.5
NO10-20.600++++80.738.214.44.6
BUF9-30.6633.697.255.019.57.83.7
DAL6-60.64483.783.943.320.09.43.4
KC8-40.64499.199.254.118.06.93.1
GB9-30.56962.494.655.923.38.42.5
SEA9-20.55322.295.352.118.46.92.0
HOU8-40.54364.884.039.39.62.81.0
TEN7-50.59030.151.126.17.42.40.9
PIT7-50.5270.548.020.64.81.30.4
LAR7-50.5680.117.17.92.91.10.3
PHI5-70.48016.316.35.81.80.60.1
IND6-60.5095.113.25.51.20.30.1
CHI6-60.5110.22.00.80.30.10.0
CLE5-70.444-2.60.90.20.00.0
OAK6-60.3370.74.41.10.10.00.0
TB5-70.490-0.10.00.00.00.0
DEN4-80.4020.20.30.10.00.00.0
CAR5-70.426-0.00.00.00.00.0
LAC4-80.507-0.00.00.00.00.0
JAC4-80.351-0.00.00.00.00.0
NYJ4-80.335-0.00.00.00.00.0
WAS3-90.2580.00.00.00.00.00.0
DET3-8-10.435------
ATL3-90.383------
ARI3-8-10.334------
NYG2-100.305------
CIN1-110.260------
MIA3-90.224------

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England and Dallas (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 5, Sunday)
First to 30% chance of Superbowl win; New England (Week 8, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England, Dallas, and Kansas City (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 6, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 12, Sunday)
First to clinch a Playoff spot: New Orleans (Week 13, Thursday)

First team eliminated from a division: Cincinnati (Week 10, Sunday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2. Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 2, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 5, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 11, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 11, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 11, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 12, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 12, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 12, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 13, Thursday] New England over San Francisco

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