Super Bowl LIV Projection, Week 8, Final

New England over San Francisco

Miami was briefly not at the bottom of this chart, mostly because they had only played and lost 6 games to Cincinnati's 8, and Washington and Atlanta's 7 out of 8. We're comparing pretty small numbers though, so they're bound to fluctuate a little each week just due to the stochastic nature of what I'm doing here. But Miami lost again to drag themselves down to the bottom. They only lost by 13 though. They're going to have to let in some more points or lay off the scoring to truly challenge for the worst team ever. Miami's chances of winning the Superbowl currently sit at about 13 of every 100,000,000 simulations, while Cincinnati is about 4 times as likely to win.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
NE	8-0	0.743	97.72	99.97	98.95	70.59	49.22	30.65
SF	7-0	0.697	90.08	98.46	91.57	56.62	34.36	18.81
MIN	6-2	0.651	28.83	81.82	54.19	28.88	15.15	7.54
GB	7-1	0.598	69.03	91.95	68.81	33.50	15.16	6.72
BAL	5-2	0.596	80.93	86.55	62.68	32.83	13.80	6.35
NO	7-1	0.580	88.78	94.32	71.87	33.22	14.34	6.12
DAL	4-3	0.623	74.73	76.55	42.19	20.60	10.17	4.77
KC	5-3	0.580	76.69	79.48	51.03	24.57	10.10	4.48
IND	5-2	0.515	48.39	69.41	46.57	19.12	6.64	2.53
HOU	5-3	0.544	27.04	55.51	34.79	14.49	5.64	2.31
BUF	5-2	0.530	2.28	78.02	38.51	13.86	5.65	2.24
LAR	5-3	0.575	2.53	36.04	18.04	7.68	3.43	1.45
SEA	6-2	0.522	7.35	47.90	22.55	8.53	3.36	1.25
JAC	4-4	0.522	15.06	34.76	19.31	7.28	2.75	1.07
PIT	3-4	0.511	15.25	33.73	17.86	6.77	2.47	0.93
TEN	4-4	0.534	9.51	24.07	13.48	5.11	2.02	0.81
PHI	4-4	0.506	23.84	28.04	11.64	4.28	1.61	0.58
CAR	4-3	0.491	10.58	22.49	10.01	3.53	1.26	0.43
LAC	3-5	0.500	11.12	12.94	6.22	2.26	0.81	0.30
OAK	3-4	0.425	10.82	16.44	7.02	2.11	0.61	0.19
DET	3-3-1	0.489	1.28	9.86	4.14	1.44	0.52	0.18
CHI	3-4	0.516	0.86	7.57	3.26	1.21	0.47	0.17
CLE	2-5	0.406	3.80	6.93	2.73	0.77	0.22	0.06
TB	2-5	0.475	0.63	2.41	0.93	0.30	0.11	0.03
DEN	2-6	0.431	1.37	2.00	0.80	0.23	0.07	0.02
NYG	2-6	0.389	1.40	1.53	0.47	0.12	0.03	0.01
ARI	3-4-1	0.404	0.04	1.04	0.33	0.09	0.03	0.01
NYJ	1-6	0.312	0.00	0.15	0.04	0.01	0.00	0.00
CIN	0-8	0.336	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
WAS	1-7	0.309	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00
ATL	1-7	0.362	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
MIA	0-7	0.296	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England and Dallas (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 5, Sunday)
First to 30% chance of Superbowl win; New England (Week 8, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England, Dallas, and Kansas City (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 6, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Sunday)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2. Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 2, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 5, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Sunday] New England over San Francisco