Super Bowl LIV Projection, Week 7, Thursday

New England over San Francisco

Here's a case where my system can't tell the whole story. Kansas City beat Denver 20-6 last night, but lost Patrick Mahomes for at least a few games it appears. So,while they are the second strongest AFC team, their expectations should probably be a little lower, unless Kansas City's backup QB can duplicate the performance of their starter.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
NE	6-0	0.681	87.98	99.47	93.87	60.88	38.41	23.39
SF	5-0	0.632	75.70	92.26	81.23	47.57	27.52	14.51
KC	5-2	0.591	74.44	83.96	61.86	32.38	15.41	7.92
BAL	4-2	0.584	79.49	83.97	57.23	29.08	13.72	6.96
MIN	4-2	0.615	29.08	61.92	43.89	24.25	13.18	6.71
GB	5-1	0.557	51.35	75.20	55.22	27.18	12.94	5.84
BUF	4-1	0.556	11.99	85.35	49.02	21.47	10.00	4.78
HOU	4-2	0.552	54.46	71.11	49.12	22.80	9.95	4.71
CAR	4-2	0.560	41.85	57.50	37.96	18.54	8.87	4.03
DAL	3-3	0.577	53.97	56.41	31.90	16.02	8.03	3.79
NO	5-1	0.513	54.35	68.97	45.78	20.16	8.65	3.54
SEA	5-1	0.534	21.69	57.45	35.40	16.04	7.41	3.18
CHI	3-2	0.552	13.47	36.04	22.30	10.68	5.05	2.26
IND	3-2	0.496	31.11	47.74	27.66	11.08	4.26	1.78
PHI	3-3	0.522	39.21	42.14	21.34	9.50	4.22	1.76
OAK	3-2	0.460	16.96	38.25	19.56	7.12	2.53	0.97
DET	2-2-1	0.502	6.11	16.90	9.18	3.94	1.68	0.67
TEN	2-4	0.518	7.01	14.55	7.68	3.10	1.29	0.57
LAR	3-3	0.498	1.97	15.15	7.48	3.11	1.33	0.53
LAC	2-4	0.505	7.35	14.11	7.00	2.79	1.13	0.48
PIT	2-4	0.462	10.59	20.81	9.46	3.39	1.23	0.48
JAC	2-4	0.469	7.42	16.69	7.71	2.74	1.01	0.40
CLE	2-4	0.433	9.62	15.94	6.80	2.29	0.77	0.28
TB	2-4	0.481	3.15	6.64	3.04	1.21	0.49	0.19
NYG	2-4	0.407	6.48	7.74	2.92	0.97	0.33	0.10
ARI	2-3-1	0.435	0.63	4.33	1.84	0.66	0.24	0.08
DEN	2-5	0.438	1.25	4.14	1.74	0.56	0.20	0.07
NYJ	1-4	0.381	0.03	2.91	0.98	0.25	0.08	0.02
ATL	1-5	0.417	0.65	0.95	0.37	0.13	0.04	0.01
CIN	0-6	0.383	0.31	0.60	0.20	0.06	0.02	0.01
WAS	1-5	0.364	0.34	0.40	0.13	0.04	0.01	0.00
MIA	0-5	0.348	0.00	0.40	0.12	0.03	0.01	0.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England and Dallas (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 5, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England, Dallas, and Kansas City (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 6, Thursday)


[Week 1] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2. Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 2, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 5, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Final] New England over San Francisco