2019-12-24

Super Bowl LIV Projection, Week 16, Final

New England over San Francisco

There's only one gameday left in the regular season, with all of the week 17 games placed on Sunday either for some perceived sense of fairness, or just to maximize the potential for fast-paced playoff changes.

No one was eliminated Monday, but Green Bay locked up the NFC North (and locked Minnesota into the second wildcard I believe). That leaves just 2 divisions unclaimed, the stubborn NFC East that no one wants to win and may send an 8-8 team to the playoffs, and the West, whose winner will have at least 12 wins and possibly be the #1 seed. Since San Francisco is playing Seattle for that spot in week 17, they get the prime time game. All the first round byes except for Baltimore's are still up for grabs. In the AFC the other will be either New England or Kansas City, and in the NFC it will be some combination of Seattle, San Francisco, New Orleans, and Green Bay.


TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
NE12-30.864++++99.572.843.931.8
BAL13-20.840++++++77.439.827.2
SF12-30.77575.9++93.361.140.916.8
MIN10-50.708-++59.127.215.75.2
KC11-40.741++++68.721.79.04.9
GB12-30.627++++88.644.417.34.5
NO12-30.654++++64.933.814.64.1
BUF10-50.652-++60.115.24.42.0
DAL7-80.66026.626.615.27.13.20.9
SEA11-40.52224.1++46.315.34.80.9
PHI8-70.52973.473.432.611.03.50.7
TEN8-70.601-66.623.25.21.30.5
HOU10-50.527++++39.36.51.30.4
PIT8-70.510-23.67.51.20.20.1
OAK7-80.302-9.81.70.10.00.0
LAR8-70.546------
TB7-80.525------
IND7-80.512------
LAC5-100.504------
ATL6-90.454------
CHI7-80.448------
DEN6-90.414------
CLE6-90.401------
ARI5-9-10.365------
DET3-11-10.351------
NYG4-110.331------
CAR5-100.326------
NYJ6-90.306------
JAC5-100.267------
WAS3-120.230------
CIN1-140.212------
MIA4-110.194------

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England and Dallas (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 5, Sunday)
First to 30% chance of Superbowl win; New England (Week 8, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England, Dallas, and Kansas City (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 6, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 12, Sunday)
First to clinch a Playoff spot: New Orleans (Week 13, Thursday)
First to clinch a first round bye: Baltimore (Week 16, Sunday)
First to clinch homefield in conference playoffs: Baltimore (Week 16, Sunday)

First team eliminated from a division: Cincinnati (Week 10, Sunday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2. Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 2, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 5, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 11, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 11, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 11, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 12, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 12, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 12, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 13, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 13, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 13, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 14, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 14, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 14, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 15, Thursday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 15, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 15, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 16, Saturday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 16, Sunday] New England over San Francisco

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