There were only 3 spots clinched before Sunday, and all were division winners. New England, San Francisco, Green Bay, Buffalo, and Seattle all clinched at least wildcard berths. Seattle is actually leading the NFC West, although they still have to face San Francisco and are not favored by my numbers to win it. New England also regained their AFC lead, at least for now.
We had 12 teams completely out, and now there are 14. Denver and Chicago both joined the group with a divisional loss. The LA Rams joined Indianapolis, Cleveland, and Oakland on the brink of elimination, all 4 of whom are under 5.5% likely to make the playoffs. Indianapolis still will play on Monday.
| TEAM | Record | Strength | Div | Plyff | WC | Qtr | Semi | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE | 11-3 | 0.847 | 99.1 | ++ | 97.2 | 71.1 | 43.5 | 30.4 |
| BAL | 12-2 | 0.815 | ++ | ++ | 99.8 | 73.0 | 37.5 | 24.4 |
| SF | 11-3 | 0.771 | 70.5 | ++ | 90.0 | 58.3 | 39.0 | 17.4 |
| MIN | 10-4 | 0.724 | 12.9 | 98.0 | 64.3 | 34.7 | 19.9 | 7.7 |
| KC | 10-4 | 0.699 | ++ | ++ | 67.5 | 21.3 | 8.5 | 4.3 |
| GB | 11-3 | 0.599 | 87.1 | ++ | 71.2 | 33.2 | 12.3 | 3.3 |
| DAL | 7-7 | 0.669 | 74.9 | 74.9 | 40.9 | 20.9 | 9.8 | 3.2 |
| BUF | 10-4 | 0.668 | 0.9 | ++ | 60.5 | 18.4 | 6.3 | 2.9 |
| NO | 10-3 | 0.590 | ++ | ++ | 65.0 | 29.0 | 10.6 | 2.8 |
| SEA | 11-3 | 0.547 | 29.5 | ++ | 58.1 | 20.0 | 7.1 | 1.7 |
| TEN | 8-6 | 0.624 | 16.4 | 55.1 | 23.5 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| HOU | 9-5 | 0.521 | 81.0 | 94.7 | 34.4 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| PHI | 7-7 | 0.512 | 25.1 | 25.1 | 9.6 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| PIT | 8-6 | 0.525 | - | 44.3 | 15.2 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| LAR | 8-6 | 0.553 | - | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| IND | 6-7 | 0.502 | 2.6 | 5.4 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| CLE | 6-8 | 0.453 | - | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| OAK | 6-8 | 0.294 | - | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| TB | 7-7 | 0.529 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| LAC | 5-9 | 0.520 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CHI | 7-7 | 0.508 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| ATL | 5-9 | 0.433 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| DEN | 5-9 | 0.390 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CAR | 5-9 | 0.382 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| DET | 3-10-1 | 0.370 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| ARI | 4-9-1 | 0.325 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NYG | 3-11 | 0.316 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NYJ | 5-9 | 0.301 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| JAC | 5-9 | 0.292 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| WAS | 3-11 | 0.231 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CIN | 1-13 | 0.211 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| MIA | 3-11 | 0.190 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England and Dallas (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 5, Sunday)
First to 30% chance of Superbowl win; New England (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England, Dallas, and Kansas City (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 6, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 12, Sunday)
First to clinch a Playoff spot: New Orleans (Week 13, Thursday)
First team eliminated from a division: Cincinnati (Week 10, Sunday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 11, Sunday)
[Week 1] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2. Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 2, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 5, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 11, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 11, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 11, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 12, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 12, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 12, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 13, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 13, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 13, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 14, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 14, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 14, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 15, Thursday] Baltimore over San Francisco
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