Baltimore is the first team to clinch a bye, and also locked up the #1 seed. It seems like there's a weird power imbalance this year, though it probably happens to some degree every year. The current #1 team in the NFC still haven't clinched their division. The Baltimore win came at the expense of Cleveland, who were also finally eliminated. We're down to 2 unclinched playoff spots, Dallas vs Philadelphia for the NFC East, and the second wildcard in the AFC, which will go to Tennessee, Pittsburgh, or Oakland. All AFC divisions have been clinched, but the seeding could still change for 3 of the 4 winners. I specifically track the chances of getting the #1 seed; I suppose I should do so for at least 2-6 as well.
| TEAM | Record | Strength | Div | Plyff | WC | Qtr | Semi | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE | 12-3 | 0.864 | ++ | ++ | 99.5 | 72.8 | 43.9 | 31.6 |
| BAL | 13-2 | 0.840 | ++ | ++ | ++ | 77.4 | 39.8 | 27.1 |
| SF | 12-3 | 0.775 | 75.9 | ++ | 93.0 | 61.8 | 40.8 | 16.7 |
| MIN | 10-4 | 0.724 | 12.9 | ++ | 64.8 | 33.7 | 19.1 | 6.7 |
| NO | 12-3 | 0.654 | ++ | ++ | 81.5 | 41.9 | 17.9 | 5.0 |
| KC | 11-4 | 0.741 | ++ | ++ | 68.7 | 21.7 | 9.0 | 4.9 |
| GB | 11-3 | 0.599 | 87.1 | ++ | 65.0 | 29.6 | 10.7 | 2.6 |
| BUF | 10-5 | 0.652 | - | ++ | 60.1 | 15.2 | 4.4 | 2.0 |
| SEA | 11-4 | 0.522 | 24.1 | ++ | 53.1 | 16.6 | 5.3 | 1.0 |
| DAL | 7-8 | 0.660 | 26.6 | 26.6 | 13.8 | 6.5 | 3.0 | 0.8 |
| PHI | 8-7 | 0.529 | 73.4 | 73.4 | 28.8 | 9.9 | 3.2 | 0.6 |
| TEN | 8-7 | 0.601 | - | 66.6 | 23.2 | 5.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| HOU | 10-5 | 0.527 | ++ | ++ | 39.3 | 6.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| PIT | 8-7 | 0.510 | - | 23.6 | 7.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| OAK | 7-8 | 0.302 | - | 9.8 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| LAR | 8-7 | 0.546 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| TB | 7-8 | 0.525 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| IND | 7-8 | 0.512 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| LAC | 5-10 | 0.504 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| ATL | 6-9 | 0.454 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CHI | 7-8 | 0.448 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CLE | 6-9 | 0.420 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| DEN | 6-9 | 0.414 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| DET | 3-11-1 | 0.351 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| ARI | 5-9-1 | 0.346 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NYG | 4-11 | 0.331 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CAR | 5-10 | 0.326 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NYJ | 6-9 | 0.306 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| JAC | 5-10 | 0.267 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| WAS | 3-12 | 0.230 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CIN | 1-14 | 0.212 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| MIA | 4-11 | 0.194 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England and Dallas (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 5, Sunday)
First to 30% chance of Superbowl win; New England (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England, Dallas, and Kansas City (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 6, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 12, Sunday)
First to clinch a Playoff spot: New Orleans (Week 13, Thursday)
First to clinch a first round bye: Baltimore (Week 16, Sunday)
First to clinch homefield in conference playoffs: Baltimore (Week 16, Sunday)
First team eliminated from a division: Cincinnati (Week 10, Sunday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 11, Sunday)
[Week 1] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2. Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 2, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 5, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 10, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 11, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 11, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 11, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 12, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 12, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 12, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 13, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 13, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 13, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 14, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 14, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 14, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 15, Thursday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 15, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 15, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 16, Saturday] New England over San Francisco
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