2019-11-08

Super Bowl LIV Projection, Week 10, Thursday

New England over San Francisco

Oakland upset the LA Chargers on a Thursday night game, but didn't really have an effect on anyone but each other. Even their division leader, Kansas City, barely moved, falling just slightly to 74.7% likely to win the AFC West. Oakland rose to 18.8% from 10.6%, and LA fell to 5.7% from 13.7%. Rounding out the division, Denver stayed just below 1%

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
NE8-10.75593.599.997.068.947.429.8
SF8-00.71291.399.394.359.737.420.5
BAL6-20.62187.093.273.439.316.98.1
DAL5-30.65175.078.747.925.012.96.2
MIN6-30.64829.572.846.724.312.45.9
NO7-10.58083.393.172.934.014.25.8
GB7-20.57368.886.558.526.711.04.4
HOU6-30.58954.376.952.023.69.74.3
KC6-30.58674.780.051.723.49.54.2
BUF6-20.5686.584.745.817.67.43.1
SEA7-20.5317.358.227.710.44.21.5
IND5-30.51037.655.329.710.93.71.4
LAR5-30.5751.333.416.36.73.01.2
PIT4-40.51512.443.421.97.72.71.0
CAR5-30.50916.635.817.46.42.30.8
PHI5-40.52124.934.415.25.82.20.8
OAK5-40.44118.833.414.04.11.20.4
TEN4-50.5084.69.74.61.50.50.2
LAC4-60.5305.77.63.51.20.50.2
JAC4-50.4703.512.45.11.50.50.2
DET3-4-10.4771.14.01.60.50.20.1
CHI3-50.4950.72.81.20.40.10.0
DEN3-60.4450.81.70.70.20.10.0
CLE2-60.3950.61.80.60.10.00.0
TB2-60.4660.10.40.20.10.00.0
ARI3-5-10.3990.00.40.10.00.00.0
NYG2-70.3590.10.10.00.00.00.0
ATL1-70.3620.00.00.00.00.00.0
NYJ1-70.2940.00.00.00.00.00.0
CIN0-80.3360.00.00.00.00.00.0
MIA1-70.2810.00.00.00.00.00.0
WAS1-80.2800.00.00.00.00.00.0

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England and Dallas (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 5, Sunday)
First to 30% chance of Superbowl win; New England (Week 8, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England, Dallas, and Kansas City (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 6, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Sunday)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2. Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 2, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 5, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 5, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 6, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 7, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 8, Final] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Thursday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Sunday] New England over San Francisco
[Week 9, Final] New England over San Francisco

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