2016-12-12

Superbowl LI Projection, Week 14, Sunday

New England over Dallas

The big news this week is that Dallas lost to the Giants, the only team to beat them this year, and now they've done it twice. Dallas is still in the top position in the NFC, a full 2 games ahead of Detroit and...the Giants. Of course it's not quite as good as a 2-game lead in their division, because they would definitely lose in the first tiebreaker, which is head to head record.

No team clinched a playoff spot this Sunday, and no one will after tonight's New England - Baltimore game either. The AFC has a pretty solid middle group of teams right now, and the teams at the top aren't completely running away with things, so we'll have to wait until next week for the next clinch.

Buffalo was eliminated from their division, but is still alive for a wildcard spot. LA and Chicago were officially completely eliminated this week, just in time for Jeff Fisher to tie the record for all time losses by a head coach. He was fired today though, so he won't get a chance to break the record this Thursday when the Rams play in Seattle.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
NE10-20.71398.1399.4898.7064.3740.7324.15
DAL11-20.69895.81++98.0663.7239.5622.16
ATL8-50.62676.0589.9461.3531.8215.767.60
PIT8-50.62560.7478.4045.4422.6310.915.42
DEN8-50.6191.3143.4824.0610.645.342.61
BAL7-50.61539.1151.4628.2513.476.453.13
KC10-30.60067.3998.5783.2442.0818.388.65
SEA8-4-10.59999.3299.3277.0139.2917.838.09
MIN7-60.5823.4021.8811.044.532.160.94
OAK10-30.56731.3198.2769.5530.4612.505.47
DET9-40.55879.0686.8158.8926.3610.864.49
BUF6-70.546-1.500.650.220.100.04
ARI5-7-10.5460.680.780.390.160.070.03
GB7-60.53917.5325.4112.544.852.010.80
PHI5-80.539-0.000.000.000.000.00
TEN7-60.52945.7846.9621.107.933.051.22
NYG9-40.5274.1978.9237.3913.915.712.19
WAS7-5-10.524-42.7518.786.612.791.07
NO5-80.5120.150.160.080.030.010.00
SD5-80.505-0.000.000.000.000.00
CIN5-7-10.4980.150.180.080.030.010.00
TB8-50.49423.7053.9124.418.713.241.15
IND6-70.4916.046.242.560.850.300.11
MIA8-50.4581.8726.6510.693.251.130.38
CAR5-80.4520.110.120.050.020.010.00
HOU7-60.39448.1848.8015.684.081.080.30
CHI3-100.344------
JAC2-110.309------
NYJ4-90.307------
SF1-120.263------
LA4-90.262------
CLE0-130.212------

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 8, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Minnesota (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Dallas (Week 12, Thursday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Dallas (Week 13, Thursday)
First to clinch Playoffs: Dallas (Week 13, Sunday)

First team eliminated from winning a division: Cleveland, San Francisco (Week 11, Sunday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Cleveland (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 2, Final] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Philadelphia
[Week 3, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 3, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Sunday] Philadelphia over Denver
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 5, Final] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Thursday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 6, Final] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Thursday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Sunday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Final] New England over Minnesota
[Week 8, Thursday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 8, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 8, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 10, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 10, Sunday] Dallas over New England
[Week 10, Final] Dallas over New England
[Week 11, Thursday] Dallas over New England
[Week 11, Sunday] Dallas over New England
[Week 11, Final] Dallas over New England
[Week 12, Thursday] Dallas over New England
[Week 12, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 12, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 13, Thursday] Dallas over New England
[Week 13, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 13, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 14, Thursday] New England over Dallas

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