Superbowl LI Projection, Week 14, Final

New England over Dallas

New England beat Baltimore on Monday night, but just by a touchdown. As I mentioned yesterday, neither team had a chance to clinch last night, and I'm pretty sure no one would have been eliminated if Baltimore had won or tied. I kind of like having things unsettled late into the season, so I'll be rooting for the 5-win teams next week, and against the league leaders. I guess that means I'll be rooting for the Rams and their interim head coach to pull off the upset against Seattle on Thursday, though I don't find that very likely.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
NE	11-2	0.725	99.64	99.95	99.83	66.77	43.14	26.14
DAL	11-2	0.698	95.81	++	98.06	63.72	39.56	21.83
ATL	8-5	0.626	76.05	89.94	61.34	31.82	15.75	7.47
PIT	8-5	0.625	72.36	83.11	48.88	24.64	11.47	5.69
DEN	8-5	0.619	1.28	49.42	27.30	11.53	5.80	2.84
KC	10-3	0.600	67.40	99.07	83.95	42.34	18.07	8.50
SEA	8-4-1	0.599	99.32	99.32	77.02	39.29	17.83	7.95
BAL	7-6	0.597	27.39	36.74	18.77	8.53	3.82	1.78
MIN	7-6	0.582	3.40	21.88	11.05	4.53	2.16	0.93
OAK	10-3	0.567	31.32	98.92	69.75	30.15	12.16	5.32
DET	9-4	0.558	79.06	86.81	58.91	26.37	10.86	4.41
BUF	6-7	0.546	-	2.34	1.02	0.33	0.15	0.06
ARI	5-7-1	0.546	0.68	0.78	0.39	0.16	0.07	0.03
GB	7-6	0.539	17.53	25.41	12.54	4.85	2.01	0.78
PHI	5-8	0.539	-	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
TEN	7-6	0.529	45.79	47.58	21.48	7.88	3.00	1.20
NYG	9-4	0.527	4.19	78.92	37.39	13.91	5.71	2.15
WAS	7-5-1	0.524	-	42.75	18.78	6.61	2.79	1.04
NO	5-8	0.512	0.15	0.16	0.08	0.03	0.01	0.00
SD	5-8	0.505	-	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
CIN	5-7-1	0.498	0.26	0.31	0.13	0.04	0.02	0.01
TB	8-5	0.494	23.70	53.90	24.41	8.71	3.24	1.12
IND	6-7	0.491	6.04	6.36	2.62	0.85	0.29	0.11
MIA	8-5	0.458	0.36	27.22	10.46	2.91	1.02	0.34
CAR	5-8	0.452	0.11	0.12	0.05	0.02	0.01	0.00
HOU	7-6	0.394	48.17	48.98	15.82	4.03	1.05	0.29
CHI	3-10	0.344	-	-	-	-	-	-
JAC	2-11	0.309	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYJ	4-9	0.307	-	-	-	-	-	-
SF	1-12	0.262	-	-	-	-	-	-
LA	4-9	0.262	-	-	-	-	-	-
CLE	0-13	0.212	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 8, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Minnesota (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Dallas (Week 12, Thursday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Dallas (Week 13, Thursday)
First to clinch Playoffs: Dallas (Week 13, Sunday)

First team eliminated from winning a division: Cleveland, San Francisco (Week 11, Sunday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Cleveland (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 2, Final] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Philadelphia
[Week 3, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 3, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Sunday] Philadelphia over Denver
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 5, Final] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Thursday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 6, Final] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Thursday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Sunday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Final] New England over Minnesota
[Week 8, Thursday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 8, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 8, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 10, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 10, Sunday] Dallas over New England
[Week 10, Final] Dallas over New England
[Week 11, Thursday] Dallas over New England
[Week 11, Sunday] Dallas over New England
[Week 11, Final] Dallas over New England
[Week 12, Thursday] Dallas over New England
[Week 12, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 12, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 13, Thursday] Dallas over New England
[Week 13, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 13, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 14, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 14, Sunday] New England over Dallas