2018-12-25

Super Bowl LIII Projection, Week 16, Final

New Orleans over Kansas City

As was known before, absolutely nothing of substance changed with the Denver-Oakland game, so the projections are all the same. The chances of Kansas City to win the division did come down slightly, because they face a now-stronger Oakland team in Week 17, while their rival Los Angeles faces the now-weaker Denver. Still, it was less than a percentage point change.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
NO13-20.766++++++69.5039.8025.03
CHI11-40.740++++74.2640.8821.3512.72
LAR12-30.703++++96.0347.6322.8612.62
KC11-40.66190.51++94.0048.6524.5510.51
NE10-50.645++++88.4242.7820.818.55
BAL9-60.71182.0782.0748.9928.0816.127.82
LAC11-40.6609.49++53.8227.3513.935.95
HOU10-50.63775.56++61.2429.1513.775.54
SEA9-60.648-++61.0823.259.724.75
IND9-60.63814.2658.3328.2513.466.372.58
DAL9-60.533++++38.5610.703.311.24
MIN8-6-10.569-58.2519.265.582.170.89
TEN9-60.55710.1941.6717.126.732.640.86
PIT8-6-10.61917.9317.938.163.801.810.70
PHI8-70.490-41.7510.822.460.780.26
GB6-8-10.513------
DEN6-90.487------
ATL6-90.480------
CAR6-90.450------
CLE7-7-10.438------
NYG5-100.417------
TB5-100.385------
WAS7-80.379------
NYJ4-110.363------
JAC5-100.362------
DET5-100.359------
CIN6-90.355------
SF4-110.349------
MIA7-80.326------
OAK4-110.243------
BUF5-100.222------
ARI3-120.137------

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 7, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 4, Thursday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams and Kansas City (Week 10, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 11, Final)
First to clinch a playoff spot: Los Angeles Rams (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a first round bye: New Orleans (Week 16, Sunday)
First to clinch homefield in conference playoffs: New Orleans (Week 16, Sunday)

First team eliminated from the Playoffs: San Francisco and Oakland (Week 13, Sunday)

[Week 1] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 2, Thursday] Cincinnati over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 4, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 6, Final] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 7, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 10, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 10, Sunday] Kansas City over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 10, Final] Kansas City over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 11, Thursday] Kansas City over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 11, Sunday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 11, Final] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 12, Thursday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 12, Sunday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 12, Final] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 13, Thursday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 13, Sunday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 13, Final] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 14, Thursday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 14, Sunday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 14, Final] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 15, Thursday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 15, Saturday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 15, Sunday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 15, Final] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 16, Saturday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 16, Sunday] New Orleans over Kansas City

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