2018-11-16

Super Bowl LIII Projection, Week 11, Thursday

Kansas City over Los Angeles Rams

Seattle beat Green Bay on Thursday, doubling their chances at the NFC West from .04% to .08%. LA has it pretty well locked up at 9-1. They did manage to move from a 25% to 38% chance of making the playoffs, though. At 5-5, they'll have to win a few more games and won't be able to back in, but it's attainable. Green Bay moved the opposite direction, down to 18% from 31% for the playoffs, and bumped up both Chicago and Minnesota's chances of winning the NFC North.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
KC9-10.66587.5899.9093.6555.5832.3017.52
LAR9-10.66099.9299.9894.2555.7030.8816.95
NO8-10.63887.2198.9589.4750.8426.0813.69
CHI6-30.66176.6691.1767.3337.0820.6611.37
PIT6-2-10.61686.5692.8869.5536.8618.298.97
NE7-30.57993.4795.8969.2433.1715.056.81
LAC7-20.60412.4292.1555.0226.3613.156.28
HOU6-30.56757.9677.3445.6020.549.184.04
BAL4-50.6157.2437.3920.7410.045.102.49
CAR6-30.51612.1667.1133.8012.824.992.01
WAS6-30.50266.3874.5736.6813.264.951.93
TEN5-40.54532.4945.2823.5910.004.271.79
MIN5-3-10.53419.1951.7124.659.694.011.68
SEA5-50.5610.0838.3718.667.683.371.50
DAL4-50.52417.4622.7110.814.091.620.67
PHI4-50.53416.0919.239.323.611.460.61
IND4-50.5369.2016.917.783.141.330.55
GB4-5-10.5083.7818.047.692.801.100.43
ATL4-50.4830.6115.436.412.180.800.30
CIN5-40.4166.1523.818.692.590.810.24
MIA5-50.3866.2114.094.571.230.360.10
DEN3-60.4840.001.840.740.260.100.04
DET3-60.4210.381.480.510.150.050.01
JAC3-60.4100.361.170.400.110.040.01
TB3-60.4070.031.100.360.100.030.01
CLE3-6-10.4130.050.850.280.080.030.01
NYJ3-70.4080.210.330.110.030.010.00
NYG2-70.3970.070.100.030.010.000.00
BUF3-70.2730.120.160.030.010.000.00
SF2-80.432-0.020.010.000.000.00
ARI2-70.298-0.030.010.000.000.00
OAK1-80.294-0.000.000.000.000.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 7, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 4, Thursday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams and Kansas City (Week 10, Sunday)

[Week 1] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 2, Thursday] Cincinnati over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 4, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 6, Final] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 7, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 10, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 10, Sunday] Kansas City over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 10, Final] Kansas City over Los Angeles Rams

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