2018-12-16

Super Bowl LIII Projection, Week 15, Saturday

New Orleans over Kansas City

We're into that weird time with Saturday games, which are always hit or miss because teams have a pretty good sense if they are playoff bound by this point. 9 teams are over 98% likely to make it, and 13 are under 5%. Cleveland at Denver had 2 of those sub-5% teams, although Cleveland at 6-7-1 still has an outside chance at winning the very bad AFC North, as does Cincinnati who is even worse at 5-8. Denver is almost eliminated, but could still possibly get a wildcard if they finish 8-8 and get a whole lot of help. Houston at the New York Jets had 2 teams in opposite situations, with Houston nearly in the playoffs, and New York eliminated already. The game appeared to be little close than it should have been, but Houston won by 7.

All 5 of the 98 percenters who haven't clinched yet could clinch a playoff spot on Sunday, leaving teams scrambling for the last Wildcard spot in each conference, along with the AFC North title.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
NO11-20.743++++98.1262.4836.8722.43
LAR11-20.676++++98.6653.1124.6012.99
KC11-30.67178.15++89.9048.7826.0312.26
CHI9-40.70899.4699.9574.6038.0520.2311.44
LAC11-30.67621.85++64.6734.7418.818.97
HOU10-40.64497.5199.9278.2439.5719.178.47
NE9-40.62996.1998.6080.0138.6518.117.72
SEA8-50.644-99.6755.4223.3710.405.13
BAL7-60.66645.8956.9228.9114.777.803.63
DAL8-50.57098.9699.2844.7915.715.732.38
PIT7-5-10.60952.8660.5926.9212.115.612.28
IND7-60.5911.5139.5917.857.533.291.28
MIN6-6-10.4810.5447.2514.233.801.170.39
TEN7-60.4930.9917.636.372.100.720.22
MIA7-60.3923.8124.896.641.640.420.09
PHI6-70.4700.4013.043.740.920.280.09
GB5-7-10.516-6.312.130.630.210.08
CAR6-70.485-8.672.460.720.220.07
WAS6-70.3940.6519.964.500.920.220.06
DET5-80.402-4.020.920.200.050.01
CLE6-7-10.4220.861.370.370.100.030.01
NYG5-80.454-0.680.170.040.010.00
TB5-80.413-1.060.240.050.010.00
CIN5-80.3490.390.480.100.020.010.00
ATL4-90.410-0.110.030.010.000.00
DEN6-80.515-0.000.000.000.000.00
NYJ4-100.367------
SF3-100.358------
JAC4-90.352------
OAK3-100.254------
BUF4-90.253------
ARI3-100.205------
First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 7, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 4, Thursday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams and Kansas City (Week 10, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 11, Final)
First to clinch a playoff spot: Los Angeles Rams (Week 13, Sunday)

First team eliminated from the Playoffs: San Francisco and Oakland (Week 13, Sunday)

[Week 1] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 2, Thursday] Cincinnati over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 4, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 6, Final] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 7, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 10, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 10, Sunday] Kansas City over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 10, Final] Kansas City over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 11, Thursday] Kansas City over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 11, Sunday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 11, Final] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 12, Thursday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 12, Sunday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 12, Final] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 13, Thursday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 13, Sunday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 13, Final] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 14, Thursday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 14, Sunday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 14, Final] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 15, Thursday] New Orleans over Kansas City

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