2018-09-28

Super Bowl LIII Projection, Week 4, Thursday

Los Angeles Rams over Miami

4-0 is a strong start, and I've got the Rams as the first team to cross a 90% chance of making the playoffs. They were also first to cross 80%, on Sunday, a full week earlier than last year's team. The Rams haven't started off this well since 2001, when the clock operator stole their chance of a kick return TD to win their second Superbowl in 3 years. I'm still not sure if I can root for them yet, but I don't have anyone else to root for either.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
LAR4-00.60184.7992.8882.7549.3629.1316.72
MIA3-00.54768.7381.6165.2634.5618.139.25
BAL2-10.57040.9263.8346.8425.9014.247.60
KC3-00.53464.2076.6357.6329.5614.987.45
WAS2-10.54845.1762.6545.3323.8012.146.32
JAC2-10.53540.3554.3436.7918.799.554.76
CHI2-10.51946.5158.3538.8618.949.064.46
CIN2-10.52029.0950.9334.0116.828.324.02
CAR2-10.52330.6849.2132.9116.257.863.90
TB2-10.51633.1151.2534.2316.667.933.88
PHI2-10.51031.7047.3830.4214.586.873.32
TEN2-10.49736.0047.5328.9813.616.382.94
NYJ1-20.53817.0735.1322.0011.245.752.88
NO2-10.50123.9241.0925.8112.115.602.66
DEN2-10.48123.0038.1822.4610.174.592.04
CLE1-1-10.50215.3330.5818.528.824.201.96
PIT1-1-10.49714.6629.5517.658.303.911.80
SEA1-20.5028.5328.9516.587.633.611.72
GB1-1-10.47622.9834.2319.598.613.761.69
IND1-20.49318.8926.7915.447.183.341.53
ATL1-20.49112.2823.4413.466.122.781.29
LAC1-20.4829.8623.1212.895.852.661.19
NYG1-20.48311.5021.6012.405.562.481.13
DET1-20.46916.5323.5912.935.582.401.06
SF1-20.4735.9521.5411.645.022.230.99
MIN1-2-10.46313.9821.4911.364.822.040.89
DAL1-20.46511.6319.0310.324.451.900.83
NE1-20.4607.8416.368.763.801.650.70
BUF1-20.4396.3511.545.822.400.990.40
HOU0-30.4694.757.844.021.770.790.34
OAK0-30.4452.936.042.941.220.510.21
ARI0-30.4100.733.301.420.520.200.08

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 2, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 4, Thursday)

[Week 1] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 2, Thursday] Cincinnati over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami

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