Super Bowl LIII Projection, Week 7, Sunday

Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City

LA won big against San Francisco and retook the title of strongest team. They're now over 99% likely to make the playoffs at 7-0. Baltimore is still the strongest AFC team because their loss was close, but being 2 full games behind Kansas City means KC is a little bit more likely to win the AFC. As I've been doing for the last few weeks, I checked in on the teams at the bottom of the chart. Arizona won the Superbowl in just 466 out of my 200,000,000 simulations. The next few weeks are when we start seeing phantom eliminations, meaning I have to run a billion simulations or more just to try to hit all possible scenarios for each team.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
LAR	7-0	0.659	97.41	99.49	95.85	60.54	37.91	22.14
KC	6-1	0.608	77.65	95.77	83.27	46.96	25.66	13.46
BAL	4-3	0.651	58.29	77.84	61.10	37.08	22.10	12.57
NE	5-2	0.558	73.52	85.78	68.47	34.19	16.29	7.72
NO	5-1	0.562	63.21	80.88	61.80	31.70	14.70	7.10
LAC	5-2	0.558	19.75	72.97	46.47	22.45	10.90	5.16
CHI	3-3	0.565	29.11	51.08	32.84	16.07	7.69	3.74
WAS	4-2	0.512	56.37	67.62	40.88	17.98	7.52	3.26
HOU	4-3	0.524	58.79	63.03	35.48	15.87	7.04	3.10
CAR	4-2	0.523	25.94	52.69	31.91	14.33	6.19	2.76
MIN	4-2-1	0.523	33.26	52.12	31.19	14.03	6.06	2.70
PIT	3-2-1	0.530	23.94	44.45	27.12	12.53	5.69	2.54
SEA	3-3	0.555	2.59	40.75	22.26	10.00	4.87	2.32
GB	3-2-1	0.508	22.08	40.00	22.35	9.55	4.02	1.73
DAL	3-4	0.542	20.99	30.16	16.93	7.73	3.54	1.64
PHI	3-4	0.536	21.44	26.56	14.44	6.51	2.94	1.35
NYJ	3-4	0.511	11.54	23.57	12.88	5.59	2.43	1.04
DET	3-3	0.498	15.56	26.61	14.24	5.92	2.45	1.03
CIN	4-3	0.468	15.82	33.23	16.79	6.70	2.64	1.02
MIA	4-3	0.448	14.45	33.40	16.89	6.34	2.37	0.87
DEN	3-4	0.502	2.53	15.29	7.68	3.23	1.38	0.58
IND	2-5	0.507	13.57	15.76	7.46	3.18	1.36	0.58
TB	3-3	0.455	7.80	19.72	9.69	3.61	1.35	0.51
TEN	3-4	0.441	16.90	18.47	7.79	2.84	1.04	0.38
JAC	3-4	0.426	10.74	14.50	6.12	2.15	0.75	0.26
ATL	2-4	0.461	3.05	10.17	4.79	1.76	0.68	0.26
CLE	2-4-1	0.448	1.94	4.78	2.11	0.80	0.31	0.11
NYG	1-5	0.414	1.20	1.70	0.67	0.21	0.07	0.03
OAK	1-5	0.385	0.07	0.50	0.19	0.06	0.02	0.01
SF	1-6	0.401	0.01	0.40	0.15	0.04	0.02	0.00
BUF	2-5	0.320	0.49	0.69	0.20	0.05	0.01	0.00
ARI	1-6	0.329	0.00	0.05	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 2, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 4, Thursday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 7, Sunday)

[Week 1] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 2, Thursday] Cincinnati over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 4, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 6, Final] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams