2018-10-05

Super Bowl LIII Projection, Week 5, Thursday

Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore

New England is clawing their way back, now up to 3-2 with their win over Indianapolis. Indy is down to about a 6% chance of making the playoffs, down from 13%, while New England went from 49% to 64%.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
LAR4-00.60183.4792.2279.8146.3826.3814.77
BAL3-10.59453.8377.5359.9334.2219.3210.50
CHI3-10.58463.9081.6663.7135.3419.0910.35
JAC3-10.57555.6975.1457.0831.2416.848.82
KC4-00.54273.8283.4364.4632.9716.528.12
WAS2-10.54850.2564.1445.1622.8111.305.73
NE3-20.54850.6763.7942.6321.7711.045.49
CIN3-10.52134.4960.4540.1819.309.284.36
NO3-10.52341.9459.2539.0018.578.724.20
CAR2-10.52434.3451.9833.5815.947.483.61
TEN3-10.50535.7954.8734.6316.147.503.41
GB2-1-10.51924.8551.6731.8814.997.033.36
MIA3-10.48234.8152.6731.9214.086.182.67
SEA2-20.50912.5237.8221.469.764.522.11
PHI2-20.50223.6335.5120.549.264.171.92
LAC2-20.48511.1328.1715.446.843.031.32
DAL2-20.47420.0429.5715.816.662.811.22
DEN2-20.47310.5824.1112.585.412.330.99
TB2-20.46014.9626.0513.615.532.260.95
CLE1-2-10.4966.9417.679.744.452.040.91
NYJ1-30.50010.9716.618.753.991.830.82
ATL1-30.4908.7617.439.264.021.770.79
MIN1-2-10.4636.1916.478.323.421.420.60
PIT1-2-10.4764.7413.707.153.111.360.58
SF1-30.4693.8014.067.032.921.240.53
HOU1-30.4785.2511.495.922.591.140.49
DET1-30.4645.0610.755.412.240.940.40
NYG1-30.4526.0710.435.052.010.810.33
OAK1-30.4574.479.584.721.960.820.33
IND1-40.4633.275.962.871.210.520.21
BUF1-30.3983.564.832.010.720.260.09
ARI0-40.3890.210.980.370.120.040.02

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 2, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 4, Thursday)

[Week 1] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 2, Thursday] Cincinnati over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 4, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore

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