Super Bowl LIII Projection, Week 3, Sunday

Los Angeles Rams over Miami

The projection remains steady. Miami doesn't seem like a powerhouse, having won their games by 7, 8, and 8 points, but they're still solidly atop the AFC with a 3-0 record. Baltimore is stronger, but lost a game, knocking their chances back a little bit.

I don't recall seeing New England that far down the chart since I've been running these numbers. I can't say for sure it hasn't happened, but they always seem to win early and remain on top for the whole season.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
LAR	3-0	0.586	78.51	87.27	74.02	42.97	24.72	13.82
MIA	3-0	0.547	68.65	81.84	65.44	34.65	18.16	9.40
BAL	2-1	0.570	42.75	65.04	47.73	26.38	14.51	7.85
KC	3-0	0.534	64.17	77.05	58.07	29.77	15.08	7.61
WAS	2-1	0.548	45.07	61.80	44.86	23.72	12.33	6.42
TB	2-0	0.519	41.01	60.27	42.79	21.28	10.37	5.10
JAC	2-1	0.535	40.37	54.87	37.16	18.97	9.64	4.88
CHI	2-1	0.519	43.64	56.26	37.82	18.63	9.09	4.47
CIN	2-1	0.520	30.71	52.23	34.85	17.24	8.53	4.19
CAR	2-1	0.523	27.32	47.46	31.71	15.83	7.80	3.87
PHI	2-1	0.510	31.80	46.66	30.01	14.53	6.99	3.37
TEN	2-1	0.497	35.99	48.02	29.31	13.76	6.45	3.02
NYJ	1-2	0.538	17.05	35.60	22.25	11.36	5.82	2.96
NO	2-1	0.501	20.92	39.54	24.80	11.79	5.55	2.63
DEN	2-1	0.481	23.11	38.99	22.95	10.39	4.69	2.12
CLE	1-1-1	0.502	16.31	31.47	19.04	9.07	4.32	2.05
SEA	1-2	0.502	11.83	29.19	17.14	8.09	3.88	1.84
GB	1-1-1	0.477	21.49	32.75	18.95	8.45	3.77	1.70
IND	1-2	0.493	18.88	27.19	15.68	7.29	3.39	1.57
MIN	1-1-1	0.473	19.66	29.54	16.92	7.49	3.31	1.48
ATL	1-2	0.491	10.75	22.15	12.78	5.91	2.73	1.27
PIT	0-1-1	0.492	10.24	21.19	12.25	5.70	2.66	1.23
LAC	1-2	0.482	9.81	23.62	13.15	5.97	2.71	1.23
NYG	1-2	0.483	11.49	21.01	12.10	5.51	2.51	1.14
SF	1-2	0.473	8.48	21.84	12.12	5.37	2.42	1.08
DET	1-2	0.469	15.21	22.36	12.41	5.44	2.39	1.06
DAL	1-2	0.466	11.63	18.52	10.09	4.41	1.93	0.85
NE	1-2	0.460	7.88	16.76	8.96	3.88	1.69	0.73
BUF	1-2	0.439	6.42	11.89	5.99	2.47	1.02	0.42
HOU	0-3	0.469	4.76	8.05	4.13	1.82	0.81	0.36
OAK	0-3	0.445	2.92	6.21	3.02	1.26	0.53	0.22
ARI	0-3	0.410	1.17	3.36	1.48	0.56	0.22	0.08

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 2, Sunday)

[Week 1] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 2, Thursday] Cincinnati over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami