2018-09-24

Super Bowl LIII Projection, Week 3, Sunday

Los Angeles Rams over Miami

The projection remains steady. Miami doesn't seem like a powerhouse, having won their games by 7, 8, and 8 points, but they're still solidly atop the AFC with a 3-0 record. Baltimore is stronger, but lost a game, knocking their chances back a little bit.

I don't recall seeing New England that far down the chart since I've been running these numbers. I can't say for sure it hasn't happened, but they always seem to win early and remain on top for the whole season.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
LAR3-00.58678.5187.2774.0242.9724.7213.82
MIA3-00.54768.6581.8465.4434.6518.169.40
BAL2-10.57042.7565.0447.7326.3814.517.85
KC3-00.53464.1777.0558.0729.7715.087.61
WAS2-10.54845.0761.8044.8623.7212.336.42
TB2-00.51941.0160.2742.7921.2810.375.10
JAC2-10.53540.3754.8737.1618.979.644.88
CHI2-10.51943.6456.2637.8218.639.094.47
CIN2-10.52030.7152.2334.8517.248.534.19
CAR2-10.52327.3247.4631.7115.837.803.87
PHI2-10.51031.8046.6630.0114.536.993.37
TEN2-10.49735.9948.0229.3113.766.453.02
NYJ1-20.53817.0535.6022.2511.365.822.96
NO2-10.50120.9239.5424.8011.795.552.63
DEN2-10.48123.1138.9922.9510.394.692.12
CLE1-1-10.50216.3131.4719.049.074.322.05
SEA1-20.50211.8329.1917.148.093.881.84
GB1-1-10.47721.4932.7518.958.453.771.70
IND1-20.49318.8827.1915.687.293.391.57
MIN1-1-10.47319.6629.5416.927.493.311.48
ATL1-20.49110.7522.1512.785.912.731.27
PIT0-1-10.49210.2421.1912.255.702.661.23
LAC1-20.4829.8123.6213.155.972.711.23
NYG1-20.48311.4921.0112.105.512.511.14
SF1-20.4738.4821.8412.125.372.421.08
DET1-20.46915.2122.3612.415.442.391.06
DAL1-20.46611.6318.5210.094.411.930.85
NE1-20.4607.8816.768.963.881.690.73
BUF1-20.4396.4211.895.992.471.020.42
HOU0-30.4694.768.054.131.820.810.36
OAK0-30.4452.926.213.021.260.530.22
ARI0-30.4101.173.361.480.560.220.08

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 2, Sunday)

[Week 1] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 2, Thursday] Cincinnati over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami

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