2018-12-07

Super Bowl LIII Projection, Week 14, Thursday

New Orleans over Kansas City

Jacksonville lost to Tennessee, eliminating both Jacksonville and the New York Jets from the playoffs. It's still possible we'll have a 7-9 wildcard in the AFC, but it won't be either of those two due to tiebreakers. I think I should start tracking how many meaningless games there are each year, between 2 teams who can't change their playoff seeding, where everything below 6th is considered equal. We haven't had any such games yet, but with 4 teams eliminated and more coming soon, we could have a few such games next week.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
NO10-20.72099.78100.0097.2460.1034.8020.32
LAR11-10.678++++99.2858.7128.9015.46
KC10-20.66282.6399.9886.0145.3923.8911.58
CHI8-40.68592.3198.2968.4933.3617.829.67
NE9-30.63399.0799.5184.8841.9120.149.13
HOU9-30.63696.4699.0472.4335.5617.287.88
LAC9-30.66517.3796.6058.5430.6016.157.87
BAL7-50.67237.1974.2441.1121.7011.605.75
SEA7-50.615-92.2749.7820.478.944.16
PIT7-4-10.61362.5081.6938.8218.048.343.61
DAL7-50.55874.6081.7939.3513.865.222.13
MIN6-5-10.5107.6850.8319.686.152.090.76
IND6-60.5852.0713.315.892.541.100.45
DEN6-60.530-14.135.472.080.790.28
PHI6-60.48316.4423.028.582.470.770.26
WAS6-60.4458.9532.1710.412.710.770.23
CAR6-60.4960.2216.415.631.750.580.20
TEN7-60.4931.4713.614.801.660.570.18
MIA6-60.3860.936.911.810.450.120.03
GB4-7-10.4880.021.470.530.160.050.02
TB5-70.438-2.080.580.150.040.01
ATL4-80.434-1.130.330.090.020.01
CIN5-70.3590.290.840.200.050.010.00
DET4-80.380-0.450.110.020.010.00
CLE4-7-10.4110.010.140.040.010.000.00
NYG4-80.4080.010.070.020.000.000.00
BUF4-80.260-0.000.000.000.000.00
ARI3-90.237-0.000.000.000.000.00
NYJ3-90.372------
SF2-100.352------
JAC4-90.351------
OAK2-100.256------

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 7, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 4, Thursday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams and Kansas City (Week 10, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 11, Final)
First to clinch a playoff spot: Los Angeles Rams (Week 13, Sunday)

First team eliminated from the Playoffs: San Francisco and Oakland (Week 13, Sunday)

[Week 1] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 2, Thursday] Cincinnati over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 4, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 6, Final] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 7, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 10, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 10, Sunday] Kansas City over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 10, Final] Kansas City over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 11, Thursday] Kansas City over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 11, Sunday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 11, Final] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 12, Thursday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 12, Sunday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 12, Final] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 13, Thursday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 13, Sunday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 13, Final] New Orleans over Kansas City

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