Super Bowl LIII Projection, Week 3, Final

Los Angeles Rams over Miami

Pittsburgh held on to beat Tampa Bay by 3 points, raising their playoff chances from 21.2% to 29.6%, and dropping Tampa Bay's from 60.3% to 50.9%. Miami remains on top of the AFC, mostly due to their huge advantage in their division, at 3-0 vs 1-2 for New England, Buffalo, and New York. LA is in an even better situation at 3-0 with 2 division rivals at 1-2 and one 0-3.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
LAR	3-0	0.586	78.50	87.53	74.61	43.37	24.98	13.96
MIA	3-0	0.547	68.67	81.50	65.11	34.48	18.08	9.37
BAL	2-1	0.570	40.91	63.80	46.81	25.88	14.23	7.71
KC	3-0	0.534	64.25	76.76	57.79	29.64	15.02	7.59
WAS	2-1	0.548	45.11	62.41	45.60	24.17	12.58	6.55
JAC	2-1	0.535	40.33	54.31	36.76	18.77	9.54	4.83
CHI	2-1	0.519	43.69	56.83	38.49	18.99	9.27	4.56
CIN	2-1	0.520	29.07	50.91	33.98	16.81	8.31	4.08
CAR	2-1	0.523	30.64	48.91	33.02	16.51	8.14	4.04
TB	2-1	0.516	33.07	50.94	34.39	16.94	8.22	4.02
PHI	2-1	0.510	31.77	47.22	30.69	14.90	7.16	3.46
TEN	2-1	0.497	36.02	47.55	28.99	13.62	6.39	2.99
NYJ	1-2	0.538	17.06	34.97	21.89	11.19	5.73	2.92
NO	2-1	0.501	24.01	40.94	26.00	12.37	5.83	2.77
DEN	2-1	0.481	23.06	38.39	22.61	10.24	4.63	2.10
CLE	1-1-1	0.502	15.35	30.59	18.53	8.82	4.21	1.99
SEA	1-2	0.502	11.83	29.72	17.51	8.26	3.96	1.88
PIT	1-1-1	0.497	14.67	29.57	17.67	8.31	3.92	1.84
GB	1-1-1	0.476	21.47	33.37	19.45	8.70	3.87	1.74
IND	1-2	0.493	18.88	26.78	15.44	7.18	3.34	1.56
MIN	1-1-1	0.473	19.63	30.09	17.37	7.70	3.40	1.52
ATL	1-2	0.491	12.28	23.23	13.47	6.24	2.88	1.34
LAC	1-2	0.482	9.78	23.08	12.87	5.84	2.66	1.21
NYG	1-2	0.483	11.49	21.41	12.41	5.66	2.57	1.17
SF	1-2	0.473	8.49	22.40	12.46	5.52	2.49	1.11
DET	1-2	0.469	15.20	22.65	12.65	5.55	2.44	1.08
DAL	1-2	0.465	11.62	18.88	10.35	4.53	1.98	0.87
NE	1-2	0.460	7.86	16.32	8.74	3.79	1.65	0.71
BUF	1-2	0.439	6.41	11.59	5.84	2.42	1.00	0.41
HOU	0-3	0.469	4.76	7.85	4.04	1.78	0.79	0.35
OAK	0-3	0.445	2.91	6.03	2.94	1.23	0.51	0.21
ARI	0-3	0.410	1.17	3.48	1.53	0.58	0.23	0.09

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 2, Sunday)

[Week 1] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 2, Thursday] Cincinnati over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami