2018-09-25

Super Bowl LIII Projection, Week 3, Final

Los Angeles Rams over Miami

Pittsburgh held on to beat Tampa Bay by 3 points, raising their playoff chances from 21.2% to 29.6%, and dropping Tampa Bay's from 60.3% to 50.9%. Miami remains on top of the AFC, mostly due to their huge advantage in their division, at 3-0 vs 1-2 for New England, Buffalo, and New York. LA is in an even better situation at 3-0 with 2 division rivals at 1-2 and one 0-3.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
LAR3-00.58678.5087.5374.6143.3724.9813.96
MIA3-00.54768.6781.5065.1134.4818.089.37
BAL2-10.57040.9163.8046.8125.8814.237.71
KC3-00.53464.2576.7657.7929.6415.027.59
WAS2-10.54845.1162.4145.6024.1712.586.55
JAC2-10.53540.3354.3136.7618.779.544.83
CHI2-10.51943.6956.8338.4918.999.274.56
CIN2-10.52029.0750.9133.9816.818.314.08
CAR2-10.52330.6448.9133.0216.518.144.04
TB2-10.51633.0750.9434.3916.948.224.02
PHI2-10.51031.7747.2230.6914.907.163.46
TEN2-10.49736.0247.5528.9913.626.392.99
NYJ1-20.53817.0634.9721.8911.195.732.92
NO2-10.50124.0140.9426.0012.375.832.77
DEN2-10.48123.0638.3922.6110.244.632.10
CLE1-1-10.50215.3530.5918.538.824.211.99
SEA1-20.50211.8329.7217.518.263.961.88
PIT1-1-10.49714.6729.5717.678.313.921.84
GB1-1-10.47621.4733.3719.458.703.871.74
IND1-20.49318.8826.7815.447.183.341.56
MIN1-1-10.47319.6330.0917.377.703.401.52
ATL1-20.49112.2823.2313.476.242.881.34
LAC1-20.4829.7823.0812.875.842.661.21
NYG1-20.48311.4921.4112.415.662.571.17
SF1-20.4738.4922.4012.465.522.491.11
DET1-20.46915.2022.6512.655.552.441.08
DAL1-20.46511.6218.8810.354.531.980.87
NE1-20.4607.8616.328.743.791.650.71
BUF1-20.4396.4111.595.842.421.000.41
HOU0-30.4694.767.854.041.780.790.35
OAK0-30.4452.916.032.941.230.510.21
ARI0-30.4101.173.481.530.580.230.09

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 2, Sunday)

[Week 1] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 2, Thursday] Cincinnati over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami

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