I had a little downtime on thanksgiving, so I ran my numbers after Chicago beat Detroit in the first game of the day, and Chicago had taken over as the strongest team in the league with a .689, just ahead of New Orleans' .688. But, with a big win over Atlanta, New Orleans jumped ahead again, and remains the Super Bowl favorite. We had a few divisional eliminations, both by virtue of New Orleans 10-1 record. Tampa and Atlanta's 7 losses each mean neither can catch them now. Los Angeles, also at 10-1, could be the first team to clinch a playoff spot this weekend, and they're on bye. If Seattle loses, the head-to-head sweep tiebreaker mean that LA wins the NFC West. If they don't clinch this weekend, I might have to spend some time to try to construct the rare scenario in which they don't make the playoffs with 10 wins. That's only happened 6 times since 2002 when we've had 32 teams, or a total of 8 times since 1990 when the playoffs were expanded to 12 teams, but it has also happened once in that time frame with an 11-win team, New England in 2008.
| TEAM | Record | Strength | Div | Plyff | WC | Qtr | Semi | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 10-1 | 0.711 | 98.54 | 99.99 | 96.92 | 62.61 | 36.17 | 21.90 |
| KC | 9-2 | 0.654 | 91.24 | 99.80 | 91.79 | 52.68 | 29.58 | 14.44 |
| LAR | 10-1 | 0.656 | 99.99 | 100.00 | 94.47 | 52.44 | 25.47 | 13.86 |
| CHI | 8-3 | 0.689 | 93.84 | 99.08 | 74.63 | 40.36 | 22.12 | 12.86 |
| PIT | 7-2-1 | 0.627 | 90.82 | 96.18 | 73.62 | 39.62 | 20.33 | 9.35 |
| NE | 7-3 | 0.580 | 93.61 | 96.11 | 68.21 | 32.05 | 14.63 | 6.02 |
| LAC | 7-3 | 0.603 | 8.75 | 84.63 | 47.93 | 23.02 | 11.37 | 4.95 |
| HOU | 7-3 | 0.572 | 75.58 | 87.80 | 55.13 | 25.08 | 11.30 | 4.56 |
| BAL | 5-5 | 0.621 | 7.03 | 51.41 | 28.39 | 14.14 | 7.25 | 3.29 |
| DAL | 6-5 | 0.549 | 54.40 | 61.66 | 31.30 | 11.18 | 4.24 | 1.84 |
| IND | 5-5 | 0.583 | 16.31 | 34.93 | 17.60 | 8.01 | 3.76 | 1.56 |
| SEA | 5-5 | 0.561 | 0.01 | 46.99 | 22.27 | 8.15 | 3.27 | 1.46 |
| CAR | 6-4 | 0.515 | 1.46 | 52.64 | 23.05 | 7.54 | 2.69 | 1.07 |
| MIN | 5-4-1 | 0.524 | 4.67 | 44.47 | 19.19 | 6.40 | 2.35 | 0.96 |
| WAS | 6-5 | 0.479 | 37.90 | 58.03 | 23.90 | 7.07 | 2.26 | 0.83 |
| GB | 4-5-1 | 0.508 | 1.49 | 23.06 | 9.17 | 2.91 | 1.04 | 0.41 |
| TEN | 5-5 | 0.472 | 8.02 | 14.96 | 6.00 | 2.09 | 0.75 | 0.24 |
| CIN | 5-5 | 0.409 | 2.13 | 14.16 | 4.75 | 1.39 | 0.43 | 0.11 |
| PHI | 4-6 | 0.444 | 7.43 | 8.42 | 3.32 | 0.88 | 0.25 | 0.08 |
| MIA | 5-5 | 0.386 | 6.03 | 14.37 | 4.46 | 1.21 | 0.35 | 0.08 |
| DEN | 4-6 | 0.486 | 0.00 | 4.00 | 1.58 | 0.57 | 0.21 | 0.07 |
| ATL | 4-7 | 0.452 | - | 3.56 | 1.16 | 0.31 | 0.10 | 0.03 |
| DET | 4-7 | 0.406 | 0.00 | 1.34 | 0.38 | 0.09 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| CLE | 3-6-1 | 0.413 | 0.02 | 0.76 | 0.25 | 0.07 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| NYJ | 3-7 | 0.408 | 0.24 | 0.37 | 0.12 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| JAC | 3-7 | 0.400 | 0.10 | 0.37 | 0.12 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| NYG | 3-7 | 0.407 | 0.27 | 0.38 | 0.13 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| TB | 3-7 | 0.404 | - | 0.35 | 0.10 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| SF | 2-8 | 0.432 | - | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| BUF | 3-7 | 0.273 | 0.13 | 0.16 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| ARI | 2-8 | 0.290 | - | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| OAK | 2-8 | 0.288 | - | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 4, Thursday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams and Kansas City (Week 10, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 11, Final)
[Week 1] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 2, Thursday] Cincinnati over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 4, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 6, Final] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 7, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 10, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 10, Sunday] Kansas City over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 10, Final] Kansas City over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 11, Thursday] Kansas City over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 11, Sunday] New Orleans over Kansas City
[Week 11, Final] New Orleans over Kansas City
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