Super Bowl LIII Projection, Week 6, Final

Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams

At 3-2-1, Green Bay is in the middle of the pack, so they didn't change the projection very much with their win over San Francisco. They took a few percentage points off the Division title chances of Chicago, but remain below a 2% shot of winning the Super Bowl, although they've moved just ahead of Houston, 1 spot higher than before. On the other end of Monday's game, San Francisco lost one spot to fall behind Denver, down to an 0.05% chance of winning it all.

Also, yesterday I said Arizona only won the Super Bowl 416 out of 100 million times, but I was reading my raw numbers wrong. That's how many times they become the NFC #1 seed, presumably at 11-5. I showed them winning the Super Bowl 4931 times, which still displays a 0.00% in my chart.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
LAR	6-0	0.622	93.41	97.92	89.62	52.76	30.32	16.91
BAL	4-2	0.646	56.63	82.76	68.45	42.54	26.09	15.08
CHI	4-1	0.591	69.60	85.63	68.19	37.28	19.44	10.24
KC	5-1	0.561	69.87	86.97	69.95	36.44	18.14	8.90
NO	4-1	0.557	61.06	74.32	52.04	25.75	12.42	6.12
NE	4-2	0.548	57.17	71.31	52.41	26.15	12.63	6.03
LAC	4-2	0.554	28.10	64.70	43.89	22.02	10.81	5.23
CIN	4-2	0.527	26.18	57.80	37.92	17.70	8.31	3.80
DAL	3-3	0.549	35.99	47.93	28.96	13.79	6.58	3.19
NYJ	3-3	0.548	27.61	40.80	25.52	12.52	6.08	2.90
SEA	3-3	0.556	6.22	43.27	24.03	11.33	5.57	2.73
PIT	3-2-1	0.530	14.82	41.63	25.93	12.17	5.74	2.64
PHI	3-3	0.544	30.30	41.32	24.34	11.44	5.40	2.59
WAS	3-2	0.505	32.89	49.19	28.53	12.33	5.31	2.34
CAR	3-2	0.514	25.60	42.53	24.25	10.69	4.71	2.12
GB	3-2-1	0.508	13.61	40.39	22.08	9.57	4.18	1.85
HOU	3-3	0.496	37.98	42.63	22.65	9.78	4.19	1.78
MIN	3-2-1	0.484	10.37	30.52	15.89	6.53	2.70	1.13
JAC	3-3	0.459	28.82	33.41	16.50	6.53	2.57	1.00
MIA	3-3	0.451	13.17	23.68	12.36	4.87	1.90	0.73
TEN	3-3	0.443	26.27	28.76	13.03	4.96	1.88	0.70
DET	2-3	0.478	6.42	16.32	8.18	3.32	1.36	0.56
TB	2-3	0.453	8.02	15.13	6.99	2.62	1.01	0.39
ATL	2-4	0.461	5.32	11.42	5.26	2.00	0.79	0.31
CLE	2-3-1	0.454	2.37	9.29	4.59	1.81	0.72	0.28
IND	1-5	0.453	6.93	7.51	3.14	1.21	0.47	0.18
DEN	2-4	0.432	1.81	5.44	2.46	0.92	0.34	0.13
SF	1-5	0.447	0.32	2.21	0.93	0.35	0.13	0.05
BUF	2-4	0.365	2.05	2.66	0.96	0.30	0.09	0.03
NYG	1-5	0.414	0.82	1.46	0.57	0.19	0.07	0.02
OAK	1-5	0.385	0.22	0.64	0.25	0.08	0.03	0.01
ARI	1-5	0.375	0.05	0.45	0.15	0.04	0.01	0.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 2, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 4, Thursday)

[Week 1] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 2, Thursday] Cincinnati over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 4, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams