Super Bowl LIII Projection, Week 6, Sunday

Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams

Baltimore shut out Tennessee, which in my system skyrockets your strength. They are now the strongest team, though not the most likely to make and win the Super Bowl. That title still belongs to LA, who eked out a win against Denver. However, in a head to head matchup, Baltimore would win. Hence why the matchup projection and table seem incongruous. I'm getting close to the point where I will need to start running more simulations, because today Arizona won the Superbowl in just 416 out of 100 million runs.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
LAR	6-0	0.621	93.12	97.89	89.66	52.84	30.36	16.93
BAL	4-2	0.646	56.62	82.75	68.43	42.54	26.08	15.07
CHI	4-1	0.591	72.15	86.32	68.93	37.72	19.67	10.36
KC	5-1	0.561	69.87	86.97	69.94	36.43	18.13	8.89
NO	4-1	0.557	61.04	74.77	52.49	25.97	12.53	6.17
NE	4-2	0.548	57.18	71.35	52.46	26.17	12.65	6.04
LAC	4-2	0.554	28.11	64.69	43.89	22.02	10.81	5.22
CIN	4-2	0.527	26.19	57.78	37.90	17.69	8.31	3.80
DAL	3-3	0.549	35.99	48.46	29.36	13.98	6.67	3.23
NYJ	3-3	0.548	27.61	40.83	25.54	12.52	6.08	2.91
SEA	3-3	0.556	6.17	44.23	24.54	11.56	5.68	2.79
PIT	3-2-1	0.530	14.82	41.60	25.91	12.16	5.74	2.63
PHI	3-3	0.544	30.29	41.86	24.72	11.62	5.49	2.63
WAS	3-2	0.505	32.89	49.81	28.96	12.51	5.39	2.37
CAR	3-2	0.514	25.61	43.17	24.65	10.86	4.78	2.15
HOU	3-3	0.496	37.96	42.61	22.63	9.77	4.19	1.78
GB	2-2-1	0.502	9.70	30.42	16.09	6.87	2.97	1.30
MIN	3-2-1	0.484	11.12	31.50	16.41	6.75	2.79	1.17
JAC	3-3	0.459	28.83	33.40	16.50	6.53	2.57	1.00
MIA	3-3	0.451	13.17	23.72	12.38	4.87	1.90	0.73
TEN	3-3	0.443	26.28	28.76	13.03	4.96	1.88	0.71
DET	2-3	0.478	7.04	16.96	8.51	3.45	1.41	0.59
TB	2-3	0.453	8.01	15.55	7.19	2.69	1.04	0.41
ATL	2-4	0.461	5.34	11.82	5.45	2.07	0.81	0.33
CLE	2-3-1	0.454	2.37	9.30	4.59	1.81	0.72	0.28
IND	1-5	0.453	6.93	7.51	3.14	1.21	0.47	0.18
SF	1-4	0.451	0.67	5.24	2.28	0.85	0.33	0.13
DEN	2-4	0.432	1.81	5.43	2.46	0.92	0.34	0.12
BUF	2-4	0.365	2.04	2.66	0.96	0.30	0.09	0.03
NYG	1-5	0.414	0.82	1.51	0.60	0.20	0.07	0.02
OAK	1-5	0.385	0.22	0.64	0.25	0.08	0.03	0.01
ARI	1-5	0.375	0.04	0.48	0.16	0.05	0.02	0.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 2, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 4, Thursday)

[Week 1] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 2, Thursday] Cincinnati over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 4, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City